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Everything posted by MANDA
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
11:00 a.m. Mt. Arlington, NJ New snow since SB 8:00 = 2" over 3 hours. Temperature 26.6. Moderate snow ongoing. Based on radar my area of NW NJ is on NW fringe of the "good stuff". Better rates and totals coning in southeast of here. Thinking approx 4" for an event total here. We shall see. -
Obs and nowcast Super Bowl Sunday 4A-6P Feb 7, 2021
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
9:40 Mt. Arlington Solid moderate snow. 26 degrees Snow began @ 7:50 Just ESTIMATE, have not been out yet but 1/2" looks like it has fallen over last 90 min or so. -
Unreal. Just when it looked like OKX radar was about to be clear a large area of 20 - 30 dBZ returns blossomed over western 1/3 of Ct. Large area of steady light snow! Maybe a patch of moderate embedded? System just will not give up the ghost.
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Based on latest KDIX / KOKX radar the last of the precipitation / bands will have exited all land areas of the and be out over the ocean over the next 60-90 mins. After (I'm estimating about 84 hours) there will be no precipitation falling over the OKX / PHI CWA. Pretty amazing.
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This from latest 2/3 - 4:26 P.M. PHI PNS Statement. Have no idea why it was changed from "trained Spotter to "broadcast media" Also amount dropped from 35.5 to 35.1 not sure why that is either. From what I've read will take weeks to months to confirm if this amount will overtake the current 34" NJ state record. Office of NJ State Climatologist will conduct detailed investigation.
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Had period of light snow here about 30 min ago as well. Just flurries now. Just trace amounts added to 27" storm total.
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Walt- Noticed the same "blue tinge" here as well. Any idea what causes that? I've noticed it in other deep snows of the past?
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As of 7am: Liquid total for the event = 2.25". Snow total for the event = 26.5" Ratio works out to be = Just shy of 12:1 on average.
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As of 7am: Liquid total for the event = 2.25". Snow total for the event = 26.5" Ratio works out to be = Just shy of 12:1 on average.
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Persistent band moving SSW through most of Sussex into Warren County. Based on radar looks like western Warren could be getting moderate snow at this time. Have not picked up anything additional here since 7am obs so total remains at 26.5". Sweeping drifts to 40". Impossible to walk through.
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This Central Park stuff is such nonsense. Simple task and it can't be performed correctly????? What a joke.
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7:00 MT. ARLINGTON Storm total snowfall is 23". Drifts near 4' pretty much all around the house now. Can't even make it from garage out to backyard anymore. Just too deep to walk. Snow depth is now 21" as difficult to measure with drifting and some compaction going on. Picked up 1.5" last 2 hours. That is certain as driveway was plowed right after measurement 2 hours ago and now has 1.5" new snow. Still moderate snow under persistent band.
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5:15 MT. ARLINGTON NJ Moderate snow ongoing - on average 1" per hour. Storm total and snow depth 21.5". Picked up 2.5" during last 2 hours. Temp 25. Drifting in open area nearing 36" in spots. Deep enough that walking was near impossible. Persistent band seems to be setting up in my area with echos moving NE to SW overhead.
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Mt. Arlington at 3:00 19" for increase of 1.5" over last 2 hours. While rate of fall has lessened last 2 hours still mainly moderate snow ongoing at this hour. Now it comes down to how banding evolves next 4-8 hours and into the overnight. Temp 22.5 Drifting 24-28"
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1:00 from Mt. Arlington 17.5" storm total and current depth Up 3" in 2 hours. Temp 22 Drifting to 24" on exposed NE side of house.
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11am from Mt. Arlington NJ. Storm total and depth 14.5". That is up 4" from the 10.5" measurement at 8am. Just steady and persistent moderate to sometimes heavier snow last 3 hours. Temperature 22.3 Banding just starting to develop south and east of here vicinity NYC/NE NJ.
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Mt. Arlington NJ. Moderate snow at 8am obs time. Temperature 20.7. Storm total and snow depth so far 10.5". Near blizzard conditions at times.
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Putting aside the snow maps for a moment. All guidance has been consistent last 3-4 runs at least with very robust QPF. Even allowing for it being a bit overdone where max qpf can sync up with best ratios and remain all snow that alone suggests some spots see in excess of 20". Final "jackpot totals" will depend on where banding sits and pivots. Keep in mind...what goes up must come down so you want to be in the band because the subsidence on either side will keep your totals lower. Some favored spot can see 24-30" and I would not be surprised. Best chance I think is north of 78 and west of 287.
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Hi Walt- So happy to have you on these forums. Big follower of you from your KBOX and KPHI days. Great input and insight. Always appreciated.
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OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks for the report from Sussex County high ground. Might not see many obs of 1"+ from this event. Really thought some 2-3" amounts would of shown up around your area of Sussex. -
OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just took measurement. Total 1". Everything covered including roads in my little traveled neighborhood. Temperature currently 26 with some light freezing drizzle. Event performed pretty much as expected along and north of I78. I was expecting some 2" to even a bit more over the higher terrain of Sussex but waiting to see some reports - nothing that I've seen so far of 1"+.