MANDA

If that EPS is close to correct (360 hours out so) temperatures at or just above normal and rather dry.

Agree. On the upside the grass seed I planted is in little danger of being washed away by downpours before it sprouts. Other than that a little to dry for gardeners.

Should keep temperatures more or less in check and pattern dry on NW flow.

Smoke plume from the Canadian wildfires has generally shifted southward last 24-36 hours. Sky may be hazy at times today as smoke from those fires impinges on our area. Nice April summary for NJ: https://www.njweather.org/content/odd-one-april-2023-recap

Slowly backing ourselves to June 21 then we SLOWLY start going the other way. Time marches on.

Three day rainfall totals. Quite hefty totals in spots. Safe to say the short term dryness is over.

Three day rainfall totals. Quite hefty totals in spots. Safe to say the short term dryness is over.

Rainfall total last 3 days = 4.11".

Three day event total = 4.11".

1.78" here as of 8am. Light rain ongoing. Much welcomed rainfall.

Latest Drought Monitor shows abnormally dry conditions expanding over the Northeast sector with Moderate Drought now showing up for parts of this forum. Not good to be going into the warm season this dry. Hopes for rainfall over the next 7 days are hinging on Saturday night into Sunday. Based on trends over the last few days I suspect most places will see mainly around 1/2". Some lucky spots maybe around an inch or a bit more but the trend has been for less not more over the last 2 days.

Yet another month of above normal temperatures. Don, any idea what the record is for NYC for most consecutive months of above normal temperatures. Is there such a record kept? Any way to find out what the most consecutive number of above normal months is? Even if just .10 degree above normal. Just wondering. Thanks as always for you daily updates. Always an interesting read.

Received 1.34" rain here. Western half of NJ did best with lowest amounts eastern half. Some NJ coastal area communities had little to nothing. Friend in Mt. Laurel had dime to quarter size hail falling for better than 3 minutes. Ground covered.

Heaviest stuff is just west and southwest of me where they look to be getting drenched. Had a heavy T-Shower and now just light rain that has yielded .30" so far. I'll take it but wanting more!

Abnormally Dry conditions continue to expand across the area. This excessive warmth is quite the novelty but we need some rainfall. Soils are quite dry in my area. Ground caking in areas that are not mulched.

Some big brush and wildfires across NJ yesterday and ongoing today. No beneficial rainfall over the coming week or so. Amounts generally look to be around or a bit above .25" for the next week. All this sunny warm weather is nice but we could use a soaking rain.

As I mentioned yesterday no significant rain in sight.

The interior of southern half of NJ doing well today.

Latest Drought Monitor shows slight expansion in Moderate Drought into southwest Delaware and an Abnormally Dry patch has popped up over NW NJ. Little significant rainfall expected over the next week. Only local showers expected with rather warm temperatures for April Hope this pattern changes or we're going to see a dry Spring.

Agree but the odds of getting that upper air setup in August are much less likely I would think.

Add to all of this it needs to be moving rapidly. Warm seclusion can be a slower mover (they can do plenty of damage) but to get a Cat 3 pure hurricane up here it has to be moving fast. Very much agree with a NNW movement as well, anything west of north in terms of track would be more favorable to get pure tropical system up here from an east of Hatteras location. Having said all this those western Atlantic waters are quite warm so I would think that ups the ante of a possible strong tropical hit if the right steering is in place.

Outside of this sub forum but there was an EF3 in Delaware with 140 mph winds. Not just tornadoes but strong ones! Winds to 120-140 mph are impressive for these parts. Used to be maybe we would get an EF0 or maybe a EF1 here and there but this outbreak was very significant.

Here are a few pictures of the Walpack location.

Slowly working our way to "longest day" - about 79 days to go before we start slowly going the other way. Not that I'm trying to rush anything. Have to enjoy each season for what it offers.

Line definitely off its peak now but made it right to the barrier beaches in northern Ocean County.