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Everything posted by MANDA
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Will get a some minimal ACE points from this but so far this season it has been quantity over quality.
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Nice plots and I totally agree. Back in the "cooler" climate this would have been a noteworthy cool summer. Has got to make you wonder when the pattern will break down and can't help but feel we have wasted and are wasting an eastern trough during the warmer months and if we flip back to ridging over the east for winter. This pattern may have happened at the wrong time for winter weather lovers. Unlikely this pattern persists for the next 6-7 months with any staying power. On the other hand we are kind of in uncharted territory with climate extremes lately so who knows.
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On another topic. Gotta love the naked cloud swirl otherwise known as TD 6. So far this season we are going with quantity and not quality. Coming into peak season so we'll see what happens. Not expecting anything long lived or intense this coming week.
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We really got lucky! Could haven beeen a nasty stretch were it not for that blocking. Nations mid section will sizzle. No clouds / rain there for most of the week. Heat index readings will approach 115, locally higher in spots. Pretty much as hot as it can get in mid to late August.
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Overnight low here was 53. Walpack dipped to 49 per NJ WxNet. I don't know how anyone could complain about this weather. Some areas of the country have been going through hell this summer....literally. This weather is amazing.
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Interesting satellite picture this morning. That smoke is going to get trapped under building very strong upper ridge over the nations mid-section. Some hot and hazy days there. Thankfully we will be on the northeastern flank of that ridge (at least for now) and a dry (not much rain coming up) NW flow of pleasant weather should generally be the rule. A day of heat here and there ahead of cold fronts that beat it back. Close call. If that ridge were further east would would be in late August sizzle mode I'm not really impressed for anything noteworthy in the tropics for the next week. Conditions rather hostile for anything intense or long lived. Certainly nothing to threaten the east coast over at least the next 7-10 days. Will be interesting to see what the disturbance east of the Bahamas does once it enters the gulf. Atmospheric conditions marginal but water nearing hot tub warmth so worth keeping an eye on.
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Just .15" rainfall here. Dare I say that is ok....we're good for a while. Nice refreshing air mass moving in....for mid August I will take it. Windows open for a few nights up this way.
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Moving quickly but impressive little storm.
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Not a bad Drought Monitor for the middle of August!
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Rainfall totals from overnight through about 8am. Widespread 1"+ totals NNJ along and north of 80 and over the eastern third or so of L.I. It did under perform my expectations of more widespread 2"+ totals with some local amounts to 3-4". Either way, everything staying well watered in my area and I'm not complaining about that.
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Had 1.17” here. Was expecting at least 2”. We’ll see what the max totals were but south of 78 this was pretty much a non event. Was very evident that was going to be the case based on radar late yesterday afternoon and especially during the evening. Really thought there was going to be a swath of 2-4” totals from the 78 / 80 corridor across the city into to southern CT. Based on radar overnight would think sone places may have gotten 2” we’ll see shortly when numbers come in.
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If that materializes there will be severe flooding. Especially if it were to fall along and north of 78 as that area is already rather waterlogged.
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YES! same here. Yellowjacket nest under the concrete slab of my front porch. The swarm when I walk by or water the flower pots. Don’t want to kill them but getting annoying. Only the first frost will end this. Know what you are talking about.
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Snippet from Mt. Holly AFD. Situation seems ripe for some locally excessive totals. Would not be surprised to see totals of 3-4" over a rather short period of time. Hopefully will not fall over areas that have already seen excessive totals over the last month.
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Same here. Loaded last year, just disgusting and this year none, at least so far. Thankfully.
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Lower sun angle make it more tolerable but we'll see if it actually arrives for more than a few days. I'd rather a hot summer than a warm fall honestly.
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Got lucky here at the last minute yesterday. Small and localized batch of showers developed right near my area and brought the total up to .52". Had it not been for that I would have ended up with .18". Everything remains lush and green. Nice!
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Just some drizzle here and .18" for the day.
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Busting badly up my way so far...at least according to modeling yesterday. More recent runs showed much less and so far they are winning for my area.
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Totally agree. They can take great liberty on what they name but hurricanes and majors are harder to fiddle with.
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The fox is in charge of the hen house so depending on what they decide to name it is possible. Significant spread in all the categories so at least with the number of named storm they have good chance of hitting 14 if they name low level cloud swirls into November and December. They are in control so we'll see what happens. Hurricanes and majors are a little harder to fiddle with.
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The fox is in charge of the hen house so depending on what they decide to name it is possible.
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I'll be happy with .50" at this point. Anything above that is gravy on the biscuit. I think the 1"+ amounts are off the table at this point.
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At this point I'm rooting for a 0/0/0 August just because. SST's are not going to save the day on their own. While an August shutout is not likely at this point it is not too hard to envision. I agree, September will have to be off the charts to get to CSU's numbers. Getting boring.
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Stellar morning of weather for early August. Temperature of 62, DP upper 50's and a bit of a gusty breeze with clear skies. Considering how hot and nasty it could be at this time of year this is just great weather!