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Everything posted by MANDA
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Question to Don, Forky and FPizz- Great and amazing pictures. What kind of camera did each of you use?
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Yeah, one last really think batch heading southeast. Also cool that on the edge of the smoke shield the fair weather CU are popping.
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Worst of it has passed my area. Disk of sun again visible and no visible smoke in the air at the surface. Still dirty looking sky and stink of smoke but not near as bad as 2-3 hours ago.
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Ground level smoke here in Watchung. Very unpleasant to be outside. Way worse than at any point yesterday.
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Worse than yesterday. Visibility lower and smell is stronger. You can even see faint visible smoke a few meters above the ground. If I didn't know any better, I'd think something was burning a block away. Orange/yellow tint to the atmosphere and disk of the sun completely blocked out.
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Edge of the dense plume has crossed into my area. Air quality went down very quickly and the air looks very hazy and dirty all of a sudden.
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Let's hope the upper low cutting off under the ridge next week does it in the right place so that the meaningful rain affects this forum. If it doesn't and/or tracks north of the area we're screwed. Details to be determined.
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Here we go again - Round 2. First visible pics of the day show another area of unusually dense smoke settling south from western and central NYS. Will peak in the metro area late afternoon and evening with results similar to yesterday evening. Nasty. Still haze and smoke smell this morning but less than last evening. Enjoy the respite before the next batch arrives.
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Same here. Closed all the windows and your campfire analogy is perfect description. Just what it smells like out there. Really intense.
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Really don't think I've ever experienced anything like this before. Smoke smell is really intense and just being outside for 5 min hurts your throat and eyes. Not going to water the garden tonight.
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Just nasty outside. Visibility down to about 1.5 miles here on my ridge top. Sun looks like a red ball and you can smell the smoke. Dense area of smoke has been pressing south all day and continues to do so.
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Skunked here. Just a few drops.
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12Z guidance continues to indicate needed rainfall around here for early next week. Still a ways off but trends have been consistent so that is encouraging. Will be a rather complex evolution so exact placement of best totals uncertain but HPC seems on board for needed rainfall over a large area - at least from this vantage point.
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Per visible satellite think blob over all of western / central NY and sinking south. Nasty.
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On another note: Still a decent signal for some needed rainfall early next week. I think this will be best chance in a while for some widespread .50" to 1" amounts. Perhaps locally more but not going to jump the gun.
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Somewhat notable signal for perhaps some needed rainfall in about a week from the 12Z guidance. CMC not as robust as EURO/GFS. Looks like another complex upper low evolution early next week from the Great Lakes to the eventually the Northeast. Pattern might have some teeth so worth watching as the week progresses. Until then just some hit or miss showers / T-Showers tomorrow and Thursday. If you get rained on either day consider yourself lucky. Tomorrow better chances over Thursday. By the end of the GFS run ridge building over the Southern Plains with HOT conditions developing over the south central U.S. Widespread 90's and 100+ once past mid month that area. Time will tell if it makes a push north and east near the end of June or so. That potentially evolving pattern may help to enhance rainfall chances around here for second half of June. Rest of the week will feature near to below normal temperatures as upper low over/off New England dominates flow pattern over the Northeast. Not a fan of intense heat so I'll take it. I'll also take some rain.
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Smoke plumes. Still significant smoke plume backing westward with upper flow through the central and eastern Great Lakes from Central/Western Canada fires coming southward on eastern side of upper ridge. As someone here mentioned yesterday (forgot who) numerous fires and plumes over eastern Canada showing up well on latest visible loop. Heading for another week without precipitation around here. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
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Not a drop of rain here. Thankful for a cloudy cooler day today!
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Yes and rather quickly over the last week. Upcoming pattern does not look favorable for anything more than localized showery type stuff. As the guy who likes hoodies said the reservoir levels are good but if this pattern does not break they will start to decline. I just don't see any sign of a shift to a wetter pattern. At least not for the next 2-3 weeks.
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No change to the current Drought Monitor week over week for our area. That seems destined to change with next issuance on 6/8. Large expansion of Abnormally Dry across PA into the southern tier of NYS. Not overly optimistic for any meaningful rain over the next 7 days. Looks to be generally in the .25 - .50" range.
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The below normal months are barely below and the above normal months are well above.
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Very solid signal from 12Z guidance for a first class soaking for Northeast New England next week. Especially eastern MA into NH and ME. Final details to be worked out on how it evolves but setting up for a good soaking over that part of the Northeast. Elsewhere not so much. Could be highly anomalous upper air and surface evolution.
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It was mostly from 4/30. I report to CoCoRaHS so I was using my CoCoRaHS report for 5/1 (7am 4/30 to 7am 5/1) for the 1.96". No matter how you slice it like you said the ground (especially top soil) is parched and not likely to get better over the next week or so at least.
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Rainfall here 2.85" for May. Majority of that fell on 5/1 with 1.96". First 7 days 2.31". Between 5/7 and today only .54". Last 3 weeks have been very dry. Non watered lawns in full or even part sun drying / browning very quickly. Watering flowers and garden almost daily. Lawn might become a losing battle if this keeps up much longer. I don't want to waste water + it gets expensive.