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Everything posted by MANDA
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Low of 44 here as well. Bottomed out at 39 in Walpack. It is boring and it is dry but I am loving this cool weather. It will surely warm up again after the cool shot this coming week but who cares. It will be mid-September by then and it is more tolerable with the rapidly decreasing sun angle. Still would like some rain but as long as it is dry I'd rather have it cool like this. Going to be planting some grass seed later today.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's the GFS and it's a little over a week away but it will be interesting to see how this trends on the GFS and other modeling / ensembles. You have to admit it looks impressive. I'd take this look any day from December through March much less early September. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
MANDA replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
High amplitude troughing near and west of 80W.....I'll take it! Please! Would be nice to have something in the tropics to take advantage of that position but nothing in the pipeline. Hoping for something meaningful. In the meantime August looks to finish with nothing and be a very dry month overall. -
Missed out on any rainfall overnight with the front. Expect some escalation in Drought Monitor over parts of the Northeast sector later this week. Still think we see some Severe Drought classification for parts of this sub forum before things get better. Extreme Drought classification for parts of the Northeast sector not out of the question. Absent any tropical activity the pattern continues to look dry. Mainly of concern for AG interests and home gardeners.
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Can you just imagine when the next REAL SIGNIFICANT threat comes along. They will be tripping over the hyperbole. Just picture what it would be like if something like a Donna or 1944 came along. Mr. Ed from NJ will be leading the charge with daily news conferences 7 days before and 2 weeks after. The smart people hate the media and those that don't fall for all the hype. Hook, line and sinker every single time. I'll add....the only "hype" that was really needed was the message about rip currents, waves and surf to keep the truly stupid out of the water.
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This post explains a lot.
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Some people born obtuse and some stupid. Unfortunately, some are born both.
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Currently 55 degrees with sheets of drizzle. Loving it. Feels like October out there. Picked up .61" rainfall thus far. Would have liked more but I'll call it a win. With the cooler temperatures the .61" will "last" longer than if we bounced back to sunny and 90. I swear things look greener even with just .61".
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Mr. Ed never met a TV camera he didn't like. Surprised he has not issued a State of Emergency yet.
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Very impressive satellite shots this morning! Lots of room for additional intensification next 12-24 hours before shear kicks in. We'll see how strong it can get but that is one impressive satellite presentation going on both in intensity and size.
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I think we are underway with a significant dry pattern, much like last year. We'll see how long it persists but sure looks like the rest of this month is going to be dry. Expect upgrades (D1 or even D2) to the Drought Monitor in the coming weeks. Not expecting much today in terms of widespread coverage. If you get something consider yourself lucky.
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Appreciate your model summaries for those of us on the run. Nice to get a quick summary when I am on the road with minimal time to check the latest guidance. Thanks!