Actually I'm getting nervous about that... I was kinda holding out hope this next round might be decent up here but its starting to look like the next band wants to set up right where the last one did.
I'm in the same boat. Ill probably be SLIGHTLY above climo for this date by the end of today...but by the time we get to our next window of opportunity, if the next 2-3 weeks go the way I currently think, I will be WAY behind again.
if you're worried maybe I should be worried, but it's really just the HRRR that keeps the banding south of us. I haven't seen anything else look troubling for us.
I think it has that 3-5" area correct...but nothing will correctly place the little 5" max areas ahead of time within that zone. That will come down to luck with meso scale features.
Yes it affects us way more early in the season. That’s why Dec is warming the most and snow before Jan in DC becoming rare. Doesn’t mean it’s not affecting later at all but much less.
@Terpeast @MillvilleWx @WxUSAF
Is that a gravity wave that crosses DC around 18z on the 3knam or just instability as the vort passes south?
sorry I can’t dig into it, stuck in a meeting
28/13 I like where we are. I know this isn’t a hecs but I hope y’all appreciate how rare it is to get a NS dominant system to flush hit any part of our sub. Nice to know a Nino/block still works at least to some degree.
Hopefully if we get one more go at a really favorable pattern later we can try this with a more juiced up wave!
Look since y’all was too lazy I got up here on top of Mt PSU and blew that damn vort south for ya. Even started a thread just to make sure it knew.
Now ya want CSI banding. What’s next thunder snow? Jeesh