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Everything posted by uofmiami
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- 1,188 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep radar estimate shows it well and matches up with my two stations in NE Nassau. Muttontown with 4.93” and Syosset with 3.86”- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like I’ll end up with around 4” in Syosset and 5” in Muttontown when this is done shortly. Had stronger winds in Tuesday’s storms but I expected that.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4.74” in Muttontown & 3.72” in Syosset. Highest gusts at both is 29mph.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4.07” in Muttontown now, 3.21” in Syosset.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3.58” in Muttontown & 2.98” in Syosset now.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like a deformation band is just setup over E Nassau/W Suffolk as Elsa starts to move away from us. Too bad this isn’t a winter storm, haha. 2.97” in Muttontown & 2.49” in Syosset so far from t-storms and Elsa.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
OKX should put radar to VCP 121 but they haven’t.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
- 587 replies
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Seems to have the warmest 850 temps N of us too, as has been the pattern it seems.
- 1,188 replies
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Elsa looks like a TS from recon, NHC jumped the gun based on wind report from Barbados.
- 1,188 replies
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Looks like 95 for the high in Muttontown & Syosset today.
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Tmagan says nearly six years since it last happened!
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Did anyone read the article? I haven't followed this model, but it allegedly gave lead times of a month on the Texas outbreak etc. They also stated the model at times is wrong, case in point. So it's a work in progress. If anyone wants to follow it, as it's in development with RSMAS & funding from NOAA, they can.
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Obviously a work in progress. I wouldn’t be making critical decisions based off it that’s for sure.
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Came across this article in the Miami Magazine, on the SubX long range model (1-4 weeks out). Ben Kirtman, who helped with NMME model is in charge of this new model. https://magazine.miami.edu/features/2021-spring/subseasonal-experiment-subx.html Here’s one link to the model: http://wxmaps.org/subx_custom.php
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95 for Muttontown & 94 for Syosset, so far. Currently 93/77 w/108 HI in Syosset & 93/70 w/101 HI in Muttontown.
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92 for the high today in Muttontown & Syosset!
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48.7 in Muttontown & 50 in Syosset for lows. Low of 72 here in Orlando, looking forward to landing in the crisp weather later today.
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55 this morning for the low, refreshing!
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93 (92.7) for the high in Muttontown & 92 (92.3) in Syosset. Currently 91-92 still.
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Already 91 at both my stations, Muttontown & Syosset.
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90 in Muttontown & Syosset today.