uofmiami

27.7 in Muttontown & 28.9 in Syosset this morning.

Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 828 PM EST Sun Nov 14 2021 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 11/13/2021 TORNADO EVENT... ...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN SHIRLEY TO MANORVILLE, NY... OVERVIEW...A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM CONFIRMED AN EF1 TORNADO IN SHIRLEY, NY. A TORNADO LIKELY TOUCHED DOWN JUST SOUTHWEST OF FRANCINE PLACE AND MASTIC BLVD, TRAVELLING EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE LONG ISLAND RAILROAD TRACKS AND ADJACENT BACKYARDS. NUMEROUS OAK, MAPLE AND PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND LAYING IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. SEVERAL TREES WERE ALSO SNAPPED AT THE TRUNK OR HAD LARGE BRANCHES SHEARED OFF ALONG THIS PATH. IN ADDITION, MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED FOR SEVERAL HOUSES, AS WELL AS LEAF SPLATTER ON SOUTH AND EAST SIDES. THE DAMAGE SWATH AT THIS POINT WAS ONLY ABOUT 25 YARDS WIDE. THE TORNADO THEN HOOKED NORTHEAST OVER THE LIDL SUPERMARKET (SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE SHOPPING CENTER COMPLEX), FLIPPING OVER A 5 TON AIR HANDLER UNIT ON THE ROOF, BEFORE TEARING OFF THE PARAPET AND COLLAPSING THE COVERED WALKWAY OF THE CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL ON THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE SHOPPING CENTER. DAMAGE PATH REMAINED ABOUT 25 YARDS, BUT DAMAGE WAS CONSISTENT WITH EF1 WINDS OF 95 TO 105 MPH. PUBLIC VIDEO SHOWED THE APPARENT TORNADIC CIRCULATION LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE INTERSECTION OF WILLIAM FLOYD PARKWAY AND MONTAUK HIGHWAY TOWARDS THE APPLEBEES SHOPPING CENTER, WITH DEBRIS BEING THROWN IN ONE DIRECTION THEN ANOTHER. SIDING AND SHINGLES FROM THE CHIPOTLE WERE THROWN NORTHEAST ABOUT 250 YARDS ACROSS THIS INTERSECTION AND INTO THE APPLEBEES SHOPPING CENTER. OTHER THAN THE DEBRIS, SOME SMALL TREES WERE UPROOTED IN THE PARKING LOT AND LAYING TO THE NORTHEAST AND FLASHING WAS RIPPED OFF THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE APPLESBEES AND UNOCCUPIED ADJACENT RETAIL STORE. THE TORNADIC CIRCULATION MAY HAVE BRIEFLY LIFTED AT THIS POINT, WITH ABOUT A 50 YD SWATH OF 65 TO 75 MPH STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ACROSS THIS SHOPPING CENTER. THE TORNADIC CIRCULATION THEN TOUCHED DOWN ONCE AGAIN TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE APPLEBEES SHOPPING CENTER. LIFTING THE ENTIRE ROOF OFF A 2 STORY MULTI FAMILY RESIDENCE ON THE CORNER OF GRAND AVENUE AND MCGRAW STREET. THE ROOF WAS TOSSED AS FAR AS 150 YARDS TO THE NORTH, INTO THE BACKYARD OF NEIGHBORING HOUSES TO THE NORTH ON GRAND AVENUE. ONE SECTION OF THIS ROOF, ACTUALLY IMPALED ITSELF INTO THE SIDE OF THE NEIGHBORING HOUSE TO THE NORTH, AND MADE SUCH A STRONG IMPACT THAT IT SKEWED THE VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF THAT HOUSE. BASED ON THE EXTENT OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO THESE HOUSES, AND ADJACENT 50 YD SWATH OF UPROOTED, SNAPPED OR SHEARED LARGE TREES, THIS DAMAGE WAS CONSISTENT WITH EF1 WINDS OF AROUND 110 MPH. THE TORNADO STRENGTH LIKELY PEAKED AT THIS POINT. THE ENTIRETY OF THE EF1 TORNADIC DAMAGE PATH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTHEAST OF MONTAUK HIGHWAY WAS AROUND 1/4 MILE. THE TORNADO WOULD THEN MAKE ITS WAY NORTH ACROSS SUNRISE HIGHWAY, SKIPPING ITS WAY NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 4 1/2 MILES, WITH AREAS OF DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH AN EF0. ON ITS PATH IT CONTINUED NORTHEAST THROUGH BROOKHAVEN CALABRO AIRPORT, FLIPPING OVER OR SHIFTING A FEW SMALL SINGLE ENGINE PLANES. THEREAFTER IT MOVED NORTHEAST THROUGH PANCHO DRIVE, TITMUS DRIVE, ABBOT AVE, AND BURNEY BLVD JUST TO THE EAST NORTHEAST OF THE AIRPORT. SEVERAL LARGE TREES WERE UPROOTED, TRUNKS SNAPPED OR BRANCHES SHEARED IN AN APPROXIMATElY 50 YD PATH, WITH ACCOMPANYING MINOR ROOF, SIDING AND FENCING DAMAGE IN THIS AREA. THE TORNADO LIKELY SKIPPED NORTH TO THE INTERSECTION OF BARNES ROADS AND MORICHES-MIDDLE ISLAND ROAD WITH A SMALL AREA OF ADDITIONAL TREE DAMAGE, BEFORE MAKING A FINAL NEARLY MILE LONG AND 50 YD WIDE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH NORTHEAST ACROSS FORESTON CIRCLE, EAGLE LANE, NESTLEDOWN AVENUE, WADING RIVER ROAD, TUPELO STREET AND THEN ACROSS TO THE INTERSECTION OF SILAS WOODS ROAD AND SOUTH STREET BEFORE FINALLY LIFTING. SEVERAL DOZEN LARGE HARD AND SOFT WOOD TREES WERE UPROOTED AND LAYING IN A NORTHERLY OR NORTHEAST DIRECTION, AS COMPARED TO THE EAST NORTHEAST DIRECTION OF STORM MOVEMENT. IN ADDITION, NUMEROUS TREE TOPS WERE SHEARED AND TREE TRUNKS SNAPPED WITH MINOR ROOF, SIDING AND FENCING DAMAGE OBSERVED FOR NUMEROUS HOUSES ALONG THIS PATH. A LARGE CAMPER NORTH/SOUTH FACING CAMPER ON TUPELO DRIVE WAS ROLLED ONTO ITS SIDE. THE DESCRIBED 50 YD CONVERGENT TORNADIC DAMAGE PATTERN WAS CONSISTENT WITH AN EF0 TORNADO WITH 85 MPH WINDS, AND WAS FLANKED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY A 500 YD PATH OF SCATTERED TREE AND POWERLINE DAMAGE AND MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH 65 TO 75 MPH SOUTHWESTERLY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE NWS WOULD LIKE TO THANK SUFFOLK COUNTY FIRE RESCUE AND EMERGENCY SERVICES, NEW YORK STATE DIVISION OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY SERVICES LONG ISLAND SECTOR, AND NEW YORK STATE POLICE IN ASSISTING IN THE SURVEY AND HELPING FORMULATE THIS PRELIMINARY DAMAGE ASSESSMENT. START LOCATION...Shirley, Suffolk County, NY END LOCATION...Manorville, Suffolk County, NY DATE...November 13, 2021 ESTIMATED TIME...3:42 PM TO 3:50 PM MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF1 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...110 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...50 yards PATH LENGTH...3.5 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.798227, -72.871182 ENDING LAT/LON...40.853652, -72.810073 * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0

START LOCATION...CHESHIRE, NEW HAVEN COUNTY, CT END LOCATION...CHESHIRE, NEW HAVEN COUNTY, CT DATE...NOVEMBER 13, 2021 ESTIMATED TIME...3:30 PM to 3:34 PM MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...75 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...100 YARDS PATH LENGTH...3.5 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...41.48751, -72.9355 ENDING LAT/LON...41.51865, -72.88036 * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0

START LOCATION...EAST ISLIP, SUFFOLK COUNTY, NY END LOCATION...OAKDALE, SUFFOLK COUNTY, NY DATE...NOVEMBER 13, 2021 ESTIMATED TIME...3:20 PM TO 3:22 PM MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...85 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...50 YARDS PATH LENGTH...900 YARDS BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.717779, -73.197229 ENDING LAT/LON...40.723105, -73.190136 * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0

30.1 in Syosset & 28.1 in Muttontown.

32.9 only in Syosset, some wind kept temp from falling further than yesterday. Muttontown dropped to 28.7, second freeze in a row.

32.4 in Syosset & 29.5 in Muttontown this morning.

White PVC? It shouldn’t imo.

Frost on the car this morning, 36.6 in Syosset & 32.6 in Muttontown.

Finished with 3.84” of rain in Syosset. Muttontown had 3.67”. Winds haven’t been much, gusting only to 27 mph so far.

42.6 in Muttontown & 45.8 in Syosset this morning.

NYC tells OKX to take a hike!

Looks like 72-74 based on hourly observation report around the area STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY WAVE AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER (UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI) (FT/S) NY Harb Entrance 2250 73 140/ 21/ 25 1011.9 7/ 7 20 S Fire Island 2250 72 1013.3 7/ 7 Great South Bay 2215 75 78 130/ 14/ 19 N/A 23 SSW Montauk P 2250 74 72 130/ 16/ 19 1016.2 6/ 7 15 E Barnegat Li 2256 73 N/A 7/ 8 Hudson Canyon 2250 76 74 140/ 16/ 17 1014.9 7/ 8 Kings Point 2230 77 190/ 18/ 23 1013.8 Execution Rocks 2245 78 150/ 16/ 17 N/A Western LI Sound 2145 77 150/ 19/ 25 N/A Central LI Sound NOT AVBL Robbins Reef 2230 70 210/ 7/ 12 1013.0

Same at both my stations as well. That SE wind off the water gave a nice uniform low temp it seems across the island.

Fun tracking times ahead for sure. E coast may need to watch 98L/Sam down the road with that upper air map, should it come to fruition.

51.2 in Muttontown & 52.8 in Syosset this morning.

Have to wait for the 1st frost, whenever that occurs. My step-dad has an allergy to it, every late August into September he was miserable when we vacationed in New Hampshire/Vermont and couldn’t wait for the first cold shot that brought a frost with it.

4.66" in Syosset and 4.48" in Muttontown for the storm.

You are fine with respect to the wind, no need for generator today. Yesterday that was known when 5pm advisory only had the W extent of TS winds making it to Sagitakos Pkwy & track kept shifting E too.

Less than 12hrs it seems from 5pm discussion. The environment looks favorable for Henri to strengthen through tonight with low shear, upper-level divergence associated with the upper-level trough, and warm SSTs. In fact, SST analyses indicate that Henri will be passing over a patch of very warm 30 deg C waters this evening. By early Sunday Henri is predicted to cross the north wall of the Gulf Stream.

It's only because he hasn't strengthened as quick as they had forecasted. No surprise the track moved E. Assuming today Henri can't get it's act together, we will see SE New England getting landfall of a weakening TS.

Watches went up this morning already for the area.

My Syosset station has a higher DP than it should, probably because over grass as well like yours. Trust me if my station was reading off compared to my other station 2 miles away, I'd be replacing it and looking to move it as well. I even have a parking lot abutting part of my Syosset property. It's representative for the N Syosset-Muttontown area btwn Jericho Tpke and Northern Blvd, as both stations are in that zone. Whether the typography plays a role, who knows, as I haven't studied it. I'm 210 feet in Syosset and 154 feet in Muttontown, as I recall. As an aside, topped out at 88 for both. 87.8 in Syosset & 88.3 in Muttontown today.