Nomz
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They can go 15 cig 1 without moderate so I assume that was a pretty easy decision. Also if they were go moderate for wind anyways it doesn’t really matter going 10 or 15% for tornadoes.
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Day 2 MDT!!!
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The 00z NAM is legit
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I would be careful writing those off as mini-supes. With such pristine wind profiles, only about 1k cape can get it done.
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Other forums I'm on have the ability to cut and paste a bunch of posts from one thread to another, could we do that for this thread?
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How about making a new thread if a moderate gets issued?
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Euro leads the way even in summer
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https://x.com/JBuchinskyWX/status/2032850219423916255
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That's about a good of a definition of the two tornado alleys as you can get.
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Yeah it looks pretty bad, but its also the RRFS @ 84
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Remember the new conversion tables
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Oh I never realized they did d4-d8 updates
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Is that new? the disco looks the same
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Agreed. Although at this point it looks mostly south of our sub for really significant tornado threats, it wouldn't take much to put Richmond or even DC under the gun. Makes sense; really potent jet ejecting at over 50kts translationally into a relatively large OWS with >60s dews is always a recipe to go big time.
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https://twitter.com/Drewshearer444/status/2032528249914372367 Another discussion from a guy I really like
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Should we have a separate (pinned) thread for this event, since it appears to be the real deal?
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79438499621__93E89579-AD18-4DC3-837B-5993C062F6F9.mp4
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I think impacts will likely be closer to rush hour for our sub. Regardless, we're a tiny bit of instability away from a truly big time event. Have a feeling Carolinas will go big, however.
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D4 30% must be pretty damn rare for this area, especially in mid march, right?
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I’ll get it out tomorrow morning.
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34/32 in DCA and stilling falling. Water starting to collect on the surface which is usually a death sentence though.
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Look at DCA temps just fall off a cliff
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We also got a 15% on the d5 from the SPC
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