wthrmn654

Tides are manageable thankfully minus the areas to the right and closest to center.

looks like lowest pressure recorded will be 976mb unless it drops more wow

90.6knots gust measured (104 mph)

station got as low as 978.6mb winds are even starting to lower pressure might be going up now but wow i expect it to go lower!

dulac is the only station that i have seen that forecast and current match, no lie and i do expect them to see surge, there in the red zone of areas and do have a water level station though its mising a forcast thats shows flood levels. Mississippi River Delta Basin at Bayou Grand Caillou at Dulac (noaa.gov)

only 12nm away from station at ground zero, seems more rare then common to have hurricane actually go over or near a weather station.

981.3mb! 987 to 981 in 29 minutes

another storm doing opposite of what was expected didnt go crazy strong like some models suggested then when its suppose to be weakening from bad enviromental conditions, its holding and strengthening!

I should have prefaced that it's also a bit early. Let the eyewall come ashore and give the datasets time to update. Hope that the surge is mitigated, but these are unknowns. We'll just have to hope for the best and wait and see. im sure you familiar but heres what ive been looking at, make sure to select partner and the other station options as thats nws ones... realtime data apparently according to the site. like you said eastern areas, they had minor flooding stages for the past 2 high tides but barely at that. tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/cidstorm.html?stormname=Francine

god dam! 985.2MB 88mph gust . this station going get hammered.

I should have prefaced that it's also a bit early. Let the eyewall come ashore and give the datasets time to update. Hope that the surge is mitigated, but these are unknowns. We'll just have to hope for the best and wait and see. i get that but its also Realtime data updated either hourly or every 15 minutes. faster moving storm, hitting at dead low time, its a double win, and thats a good thing! rain and wind though, nothing going stop that unfortunately

latest nhc dicussion, The new track guidance is a little faster than for the previous advisory, so the new forecast track is similar to, but faster than, the previous track.

areas to the east, are well below guidance as well the one that shows 13 ft is well east but its only at 7 and its no where near flood stage, in fact most areas are forecast only minor if even that. timing was a big plus

pressure is already 987.6 at closest station.. be interesting to see just how low it goes!

low tide is 433pm edt, shes coming ashore at dead low time, great news for most areas that are developed for sure. super duper news, 2 buoys are active and will be nearly ground zero for eye! and there pressures are dropping rapidly! the following are 2 stations in order of closest to storm to the 2nd closest NDBC - Station EINL1 Recent Data (noaa.gov) NDBC - Station AMRL1 Recent Data (noaa.gov)

are tides running lower then forecast??? actual verus forecast amounts.

minor flooding by shell beach,LA but its trending down right now... could the speed of the storm, and timing of coming to shore a possible saving grace????

im looking at any station that does tide measurements, im not seeing any in any kind of flood stage, in fact its low tide right now...

Station Home Page - NOAA Tides & Currents 989mb pressure and winds gusting over 60 knots

with how fast she's flying now couldn't this be a positive sign in terms of storm surge/ flooding severity?

4pm est mini update, things flying northeast at 17 mph..

got to about 80knots and held

this cant be accurate estimate of wind/pressure!

looks like degrading last couple frames with that punch on the right side ?