Baum

thinking LOT goes with a Coin Flip Watch for this scenario?

maybe my skepticism can score us a coup.

Sorry, looks about right. And this one looks especially fickle with small narrow band.

actually I think this would be your 5th straight correct call. Lowballing all events 5 days out has been a winning move for some time now.

huh

proof lack of snow has an impact on a snow weenies mental make up.

i don't recall the 2018 and 2016 events to well. My recollection, on the New Years eve event is memorable but feel that was aided by a good influx of lake moisture. Still, feel the frontogenic events love to settle just north of us. And agreed, it's more a case of remembering,"what could have been, and how close it was."

there it is

give an example in recent memeory...say the past 10 years. I can recall many, including a Christmas eve event slated with a WSW for 8-10". The fronto band parked over the metro for an hour or so put down an inch or two than shifted north over extreme N.IL/ S. Wisconsin. I've seen this happen repeatedly. If your in the band, no question, it's pound town, but have rarely seen these park over the heart of the chicago metro. On the positive side, perhaps, this is how Cary and Mchenry county put to rest the futility streak.

these never pan out for chicago. Milwaukee or bust. not hard.

turns out Toledo busts same as home

LOT on it per usual: BEEN CRANKING OUT SOME PRETTY DECENT SNOWFALL STRADDLING THE I-80/88 CORRIDORS. WE'RE SITTING JUST UNDER 2 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT AT OUR OFFICE IN ROMEOVILLE, WITH SNOWFLAKE QUALITY IMPROVING A GOOD DEAL OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO (THEY WERE FAIRLY TINY UP UNTIL THAT, LIKELY OWING TO PRIMARY ASCENT/GENERATION REGION ABOVE THE DGZ).

This is bold in 2023.

In Toledo. Let the late NW twist begin.

Looks like Toledo it is. Thanks.

no blink. Of course the NAM doesn't blink it usually just _ _ _ ts he bed

headed to northern ohio for work. What's best shot at ground zero for this event? Toledo, Avon, or N, Canton? Leaning Toledo.

got time to see the NW and stronger trends to take hold.

known bias over the past 4 years

That's my point. Normally, this is the spot to be in. And,btw I'll take a 2-4" event.

is it me or does the 12Z NAM have the golden track for Chicago?

^ what he said.

that run didn't even look good for Ohio. All you can hope is a blip. But we have seen this happen time and again over the past few years so I get the skeptics. On the plus, this has not been modeled as a huge hit for Chicago since last Thursday so an inch or less from 3" isn't a nightmare. I'll always be an optimist. And the pendulum will eventually swing back. Always, does.

the recent april and may snowfalls have made me realize sun angles mean little in real snowfalls. Besides sun angle begins increasing on the first day of winter.

looks like they gave him the script and said not to stray.