MDSnow93

Flakes mixing in in Germantown

My shitty thermpro has me just under 40 degrees, but all of my neighbors' ambient weather stations are at 36. Really hoping not to get skunked being between the coastal love and the norlun. I'd be happy with 6" in Germantown

The way I look at it is like this.. even a .050 batter will get a hit against a Cy Young winner once in a blue moon. I could roll snake eyes on two 20-sided dice.. Just need to get very lucky

Well that's kind of what I'm saying. Why are we taking its snow maps seriously if that's a known issue?

I still don't really understand the praise the Euro AI is getting.. I was really rooting for the crew that puts it on a pedestal, because it was one of, if not the last model giving us snow this past weekend. Here's what it was showing on Friday and Saturday for Sunday's storm. I'm pretty sure nobody in MD saw a single flake.

Fair, but didn't it show back-end snow because it had the low a few mbs stronger?

I'm gonna have to disagree with that. Euro AI was one of the last models holding on to the idea of back-end heavy snow for most of MD

The Euro AI has most of our area in the .25-.5mm/hr average from 7pm Sunday to 1am Monday if I'm reading correctly

Isn't most of this storm supposed to be after 7pm Sunday?

I'm just going to pretend a red tagger said this. Anyone else vs NWS... I'm going with NWS

Thanks! I'll be interested to see how this chart evolves over the next few days. Hopefully we can get more members on board and get that 60th percentile down to 40th. Or maybe even 75th down to 25th if our WDI wants to cash in

How about the median?

Light snow for the last 20 minutes in Germantown

I've been seeing 5-10 flakes/minute in Germantown for 30 minutes SN---

Does this mean the low pressure is busting north?

To anyone who's superstitious on a science based forum - Your pennies are no good anymore, go find every fountain in the area and toss them in!

Am I remembering correctly that the AI models aren't as good at qpf?

In 10+ years of reading this forum I've never seen such low morale for seemingly no reason. We've got snow pack that's not going anywhere. We've got more cold air than I can remember seeing in a while. People are locking on to model runs 5+ days out just because it doesn't show what they want. It's pretty pathetic if I'm honest. We have smaller storms to track, and if you want a big dog, I'm no met, but in my experience those tend to come as the cold air retreats and we transition to a warmer period. Just my (worthless) 2 cents.

I keep checking the tree right outside the window. That's always the first/most obvious spot to see zr accretion.

I've never seen anything like it. I measured 7" in multiple spots near my girlfriend's place in Gaithersburg at 1:00, with the top inch being sleet.

Are we sure about that?

Just checked that site again and Melissa is up over 37 ACE!

I'm still seeing 31.9 on this site https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/

They widened the cone significantly. Much more room off the west coast, and pretty much to the eastern edge.

This is a shot in the dark, but I'm kind of guessing this southern turn may be the start to a small loop before heading NE