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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. Day 10 to 15 on the GEFS is garbage coast to coast. Teles support zonal flow.
  2. Euro operational has a deep trough in the east with the 540 isotherm touching Kentucky at this time (216). Not as sharp as the gfs . I only have tropical tidbits so can’t see much else. Looks like a good period to watch anyway.
  3. That’s a great look. Let’s get it inside 6 days...
  4. Cutter then cold then coastal hugger is the next 2 weeks play out. Teles don’t scream snow around here
  5. Anyone staying up for the euro? Trying to decide if I want to take a lunesta now or wait up...
  6. No kidding. My camp in the Daks looks like an awesome spot with that set up. Kleenex material. ...and that may be all it is.
  7. Euro has been jumping 200 miles the last 3 cycles back and forth, and the axis of the trough tilt has been changing too. The GFS has been going in one direction and resolute about it - the wrong way. Euro solutions have to be respected this close. confounding.
  8. Plus 1 on DT props...hopefully we can get a radio show or zoom going for a good old fashioned nor Easter later this winter....good ol’ days.
  9. horseheads is a snow hole. That area misses everything to the left (lake effect) or right (coastal huggers). In the old days you could drive to Ithaca from there 30 minutes and get your snow fix but not so much these days. Last year they hit ~40 inches while everyone else was way under seasonal norms. Figures that was a year you want to be there.
  10. the old Euro seemingly wouldn't swing like this. One of the last 4 euro runs might actually nail it, but we have no idea which one. Not really time to give up on this for at least eastern NY areas...pattern looks good mid month still
  11. The weekend storm is mentioned in the ALB HWO in some parts of the forecast area at least. Noticed it in Herkimer county.
  12. I love the Euro look for my camp in the western Daks, but I think its a dart throw solution. We need some run to run continuity to buy what the Euro has been selling since its handing out different solutions on every run of the last 4 cycles. We are getting closer to the 'event' depicted so there's that going for us. I guess we don't go to sleep on this one after all, which is where my head was at.
  13. Early storm in December made my sons birthday a mess. It think it was the 5th and we got 7 inches here . Have the kids didn’t go. But the ones who did had the place to themselves.
  14. Save that one storm, I think it was a bad winter. We got our annual climo snow fall in that ONE storm. It was amazing.
  15. Gfs has something like this as well. I like the period from here on out for some cold and snow chances. If we can manage a snow otg over the holidays that’s a win.
  16. Euro looks good day 10 operational. Seeing a nice eastern us trough at 500. Far out there but there.
  17. Euro shows some promise in earlier frames as well. Our next real window is shaping up somewhat.
  18. I like the look of the teles...improving at least.
  19. We need a once month snow vitamin this winter DJFM. Nothing big necessarily but we got blanked for a long period last winter, so a minimum but regular dose of vitamin S would go a long way for mental health. Volatility is our friend in this regard. PS I recognize Watkins Glen, the straight way coming off the carousel. My old stomping grounds. Bring back F1!
  20. I am pretty sure a tornado went south of me...which is just north of white plains. The wind was easily a steady 40MPH and then suddenly I heard a freight train for a minute or 2. Must have been well over 60MPH right here. It was like Sandy for a few moments. I’ve experienced one before here in Hawthorne about 10 years ago. Same sounds/conditions. Relatively quiet now but round 2 is about an hour out.
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