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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. cleetussnow
    Lala land but the 18z gfs looks close to a phased solution incoming based what I see at hr. 246...540 isotherm in Louisiana. LP coming down out of Alberta and an open wave out of the gulf. Way out there but in this pattern it’s interesting to see at least. Edit it there is no capture...but it was fun to watch. Maybe we will see something like that this winter.
  2. cleetussnow
    we got time for a swfe to emerge out of this. Could work out - we got chances at least.
  3. cleetussnow
    IIRC 2010 was a strong La Niña and fairly hostile pacific generally , but there was a raging NAO which delivered the goods for the DC area several times...I think there was 40 inches OTG in the burbs of Maryland. We got a storm or 2 out of it, but we missed the big ones to our south. The strength of the NAO hurt us.
  4. cleetussnow
    I think it got ~10 below at my house (HPN) in early January of that winter as well.
  5. cleetussnow
    Can’t be too much worse.
  6. cleetussnow
    Day 10 to 15 on the GEFS is garbage coast to coast. Teles support zonal flow.
  7. cleetussnow
    Euro operational has a deep trough in the east with the 540 isotherm touching Kentucky at this time (216). Not as sharp as the gfs . I only have tropical tidbits so can’t see much else. Looks like a good period to watch anyway.
  8. cleetussnow
    That’s a great look. Let’s get it inside 6 days...
  9. cleetussnow
    That’s tongue in cheek
  10. cleetussnow
    Cutter then cold then coastal hugger is the next 2 weeks play out. Teles don’t scream snow around here
  11. cleetussnow
    Miller B?
  12. cleetussnow
    Anyone staying up for the euro? Trying to decide if I want to take a lunesta now or wait up...
  13. cleetussnow
    Do you have a boat for your upcoming chase?
  14. cleetussnow
    No kidding. My camp in the Daks looks like an awesome spot with that set up. Kleenex material. ...and that may be all it is.
  15. cleetussnow
    Euro has been jumping 200 miles the last 3 cycles back and forth, and the axis of the trough tilt has been changing too. The GFS has been going in one direction and resolute about it - the wrong way. Euro solutions have to be respected this close. confounding.
  16. cleetussnow
    Plus 1 on DT props...hopefully we can get a radio show or zoom going for a good old fashioned nor Easter later this winter....good ol’ days.
  17. cleetussnow
    horseheads is a snow hole. That area misses everything to the left (lake effect) or right (coastal huggers). In the old days you could drive to Ithaca from there 30 minutes and get your snow fix but not so much these days. Last year they hit ~40 inches while everyone else was way under seasonal norms. Figures that was a year you want to be there.
  18. cleetussnow
    the old Euro seemingly wouldn't swing like this. One of the last 4 euro runs might actually nail it, but we have no idea which one. Not really time to give up on this for at least eastern NY areas...pattern looks good mid month still
  19. cleetussnow
    The weekend storm is mentioned in the ALB HWO in some parts of the forecast area at least. Noticed it in Herkimer county.
  20. cleetussnow
    I love the Euro look for my camp in the western Daks, but I think its a dart throw solution. We need some run to run continuity to buy what the Euro has been selling since its handing out different solutions on every run of the last 4 cycles. We are getting closer to the 'event' depicted so there's that going for us. I guess we don't go to sleep on this one after all, which is where my head was at.
  21. cleetussnow
    Early storm in December made my sons birthday a mess. It think it was the 5th and we got 7 inches here . Have the kids didn’t go. But the ones who did had the place to themselves.
  22. cleetussnow
    Save that one storm, I think it was a bad winter. We got our annual climo snow fall in that ONE storm. It was amazing.
  23. cleetussnow
    From her I mean from dec. 4th and beyond
  24. cleetussnow
    Gfs has something like this as well. I like the period from here on out for some cold and snow chances. If we can manage a snow otg over the holidays that’s a win.
  25. cleetussnow
    Euro looks good day 10 operational. Seeing a nice eastern us trough at 500. Far out there but there.
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