cleetussnow

I don’t think thats right.

A lot of people like those revs. That was the first modern style sled no? I want to say my 800 triple was my favorite sled…if the trails were smooth. I rode in upstate NY so not a thing.

Even though it’s not a triple phaser?

Pretty much the same trajectory as me. Not including my 70’s sleds as a poor teenager, I had a 98 Skidoo GT triple - smoothest best engine ever. Then I got a 2007 GTX 600 which was really nice and great with a kid. Then got a ‘ 11 1200 gade which I promptly put a set of walker evans and Fox clickers and that was my last ride. I sold all sleds when my son left for college 2 yrs back but I might get suckered into grabbing a 1200 enduro used if I get a low miles one. I know exactly how I want it set up

Theres been way worse model busts than that one I can tell you but yeah. Every model last Friday had a coastal on the bullseye or close. Disheartening. You can’t write off the next one because the last one failed. Recency bias.

Dammit knock it off whoever is drawing these 360 maps. I want out.

Pilot debrief is also good

I’s say 12z today was clear. Not one model had it for 24 hrs, many had lost it sooner.

Gfs has been rock steady since 12z the 13th. Today is the 16th and this is a lot of tracking for a non threat, though most have gone home obviously including some die hards. Morch thread soon?

Yeah I am in the wrong thread.

The MJO? This hasn’t equated to storms up here. This storm is not coming back, and increasingly a goner for the mid atlantic.

I agree totally. We will hit 90s and dews before we see a 2 inch snowfall again. Which is fine. If we get right to green grass and warmth and not have of these awful cold springs…geez.

Still - its fun to watch them squirm knowing how invested they get. Meltdowns starting to touch off.

If you guys to track this go to the mid atlantic thread. Lot of good info and vibes down there.

Winters of yore

And now we have NO model support to speak of. Except our imaginations I guess.

No need to change a flight now anyway. Storm now has zero support.

The weenies can cling to hope but it is a mirage at best.

Nah. Now we very little support for a hit for this subforum. Its been 2 days since the GFS showed a hit and the Euro has trended away to gone. Lesser models following suit. I don’t think any majors showed a hit today, even for the last 36 hours…except maybe the ukie. So why WOULD you think this has a realistic chance? The answer can’t be just cuz it happened before. Basically no support right now. It’s also a very rare storm setup so, no surprise, we won’t experience one. Almost nothing going for it except if success is being within 500 miles of it. If we were looking at it from the point of view of someone who didn’t want the storm - we have nothing to fear.

In fact I recall the NWS offices were calling that GFS run a fluke due to convective feedback. Wonder if others remember that.

Janice Huff was calling for 2 inches on the 23rd 11 PM broadcast. So bad. Nick at Fox and that other dude Lee Goldberg were looking at the GFS before going live and were starting to honk. Now recall that 8 days out, boxing day was well advertised and then the models universally lost it. A lot of people forget that. It was foretold. Super rare and extreme case, but that is what went down.

Yeah the GEFs miss was better than the GFS miss. Giving until 0z tomorrow to see if it comes back around. But not holding my breath!

We’re down to the Ukie.

There is a lot of time to resolve this for better or worse