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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. I've been chewing through my wood pellet stash rapido. I think the wind was sucking the heat out of my house exacerbating the already cold temps. No wind and mild is welcome, but I'd trade it for a storm all day long. Don't see anything now that I feel great about tho.
  2. Cherry picking data. Exactly. Plus the fact that was a huge outlier type event got all our attention. I wrote a post about how perhaps looking at things from the oppositional point of view and see what it looks like as a way to clear the mind. I.e. review the models with the idea you'd like to see cold and dry in this case. If you did that perhaps you would have strong conviction the storm was not likely at all and the models were on your side, cut and dry. It would be like 'oh ok. its cold and dry period move on.' The peeps on here who like cold and dry or warm - this does not vindicate them nor validate their biases. DT always used to ask "what could go wrong" in his weenie storm forecasts to help keep things somewhat in perspective. I don't follow him anymore at all.
  3. Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now.
  4. Interesting that the antarctic has recovered considerably. Seems right back in the middle ish.
  5. Trashcans were like aerosols today in my hood
  6. Japan has latitude, a cold air source, and can whip up a moisture feed since it's an island. Siberia is like our Canada, only colder. Some of the urban snow pictures are incredible. Even Tokyo can get whacked - and I think it did like 5 or 6 years ago.
  7. while that look is good, no blocking opens the door for a bunch of other reasons a storm can miss.
  8. Just the phase is off because the northern stream is too quick. The pattern isn’t bad. There is a coastal.
  9. If this does a boxing day I am going to be cancelling a lot of shit and just be like awe shit generally.
  10. If we start a cutter thread...maybe something else will happen. Voodoo like the GFS ;-)
  11. leaf blowers. Which works well actually with the light stuff. I got an electric one and I use it to blow off the cars into the neighbors driveway
  12. I would take some nickels and dimes. At least w'de get some snow while we have cold. I'd sign up for 2-4 right now, forget the risk of the big storm.
  13. I have to see the GFS bring it back here in 20 mins and then the 18z Euro follow suit, then both through 0z or I'm 100% out. I thinking flakes here right now and that's fine, but one slight shift or run-on-its-own won't move me.
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