cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
cleetussnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think the NW trend is real and isn't going away. GFS -> Euro, same direction.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
cleetussnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
great run for metro and esp. N/W. New England forum will be happy (er). Edit: Came too north for Metro - changes to rain. Jumped the gun.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
cleetussnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice GFS run. Likely to change and there will be a lot of different looks this week run to run. We may not know many specifics until inside 48.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Ok so 1/7 looking good, then washout, but at least 1 storm is looking good inside day 10. I don’t care if the 10th washes is out. It will be cold for awhile after the monster cutter, so maybe we can get something while we have a trough in the east.
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If anyone would know, our very own Tip would. Tip?
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Jury out on January
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Months ago the talk was this winter can’t be worse than last winter. That theory is being tested.
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There is one BN day on the 15 day gfs op. 1.
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This winter sucks.
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Wheres the voodoo in ‘I believe it when I see it?’ Here is a couple of pictures of bigfoot: this one is my personal fav:
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For me I want to be in the midst of a cold pattern, then any storms in the models are more credible. The cold will bolster my confidence.
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I actually just had this convo with my son. He has a snow removal contract side gig with his friends and he wanted to know when its going to get cold. I said give it a couple weeks but cold does not equal snow.
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Solidly in this camp myself. I feel like the models in the LR are just artwork. The only reason they might verify is because it happens to be winter. Theres a bunch of artwork in this very thread and I reposted one for illustrative purposes. But right now we got nothing else to look at. Its like not having a girlfriend so you rifle through the latest Playboy (pornhub for you youngins). But Ms. January 2015 ain’t walking through that door.
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I remember when I was first started looking at model maps, too.
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We've already punted past a few pattern-change dates. Until we actually are in the midst of one, I am a skeptic.
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Kiss of death.
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Punted.
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No cold air = increasing chances of a ratter wall to wall.
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I live 45 mins north of NYC. 4 yrs ago, I used to have a camp in Old Forge, but it got crowded and dangerous, so I moved to Perkinsille, VT. Figured I could or trailer or ride from there. No snow and my son’s schedule limiting everything, we bailed after 1 season. I’ve had sleds for 20 yrs, not including when I was a kid. I am not missing it at all.
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I have to drive at least 4 hrs.
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I sold my sleds trailer and camp 2 yrs ago. Best decision I made in a long time.