cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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It is more than 1 run of 1 model and a trend may be emerging but there is still a spread 4 days out, so too early to call it.
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Listen to the pros here.
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Op said not a lot of people maybe but a huge area did. I put a yardstick through it where I was. Official was lower there but still 2 feet upstate NY
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Bullshit.
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Adding to this: First, the cutter is a huge storm. Watch what it does on the GFS on tropical - hit PLAY on this map on the link and you can see in motion how the whole eastern half of the US is impacted by this thing. GFS Model – 500mb Height & MSLP for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits It ultimately acts as a 'gear' helping pull cold down in the eastern 1/3 of the US. Exactly HOW that low amplifies the pattern is whats at stake. A Met will chime in right now and correct me.
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That is exactly where all of the weenies go.
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word has it the EPS still has it
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How's the 20-22nd looking on the Euro?
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we don't want the PV sitting over our heads. Cold and DRY.
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I think the 16th storm is going to be wobbly until after the cutter this weekend.
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December 2020 interior, Binghamton add that. 4 feet OTG IIRC! Pretty sure superstorm over the interior somewhere
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Yeah and a mention of the Super Storm. I bricked up reading it.
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I was thinking this. The cutters are change agents to a degree, and I don't know if it's the case, but perhaps the 2 cutters in a row are in tandem pattern drivers, not just the one coming up. I can see the cold load out west after the first one, and reload there and press east with the second one, so maybe that's a fact? Is that what's happening?
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Yeah I feel like that's what happens. We get a period of cold which delivers a couple of nickle and dimers and then a big dog. Perhaps this all goes down in the next 2-3 weeks. I'd sign on for that and take my chances the rest of winter and I'm sure a lot of people here would do so as well.
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Wait...we're not disrobing? Um ok...gimme a sec...
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Agree. I am going through the GFS Op and already looks good at 144 with a more positive tilt. This could be fun to track and I am already in the op runs myself. Edit - I need to wait a few more frames on the 12Z run before opening my yap. Doesn't tilt quite like 6z, or how I thought it would.
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I'm like OH NO there's TWO? But we love MetFan. We have room for 2.
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Looks like you got it covered! Tip can take a break on this one.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
cleetussnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
All done. Good little wintry storm. Like 2.5 inches of slop OTG north of HPN but probably 4 to 5 actually fell if I was doing a snowboard.
