I finally found some time to come back to this. Here is 12/80 from the Yorktown observer and it reflects similar to the Walden observations. Was it a case of a midnight high on 12/25 perhaps?
There's definitely potential out there on Friday, it'll just be a 'game time decision' based on how Friday evolves. Makes prefect sense to err on the side of caution. Honestly, I was kind of surprised to read Upton's thoughts on it this morning.
Depends on which model you look at but maybe as early 5-6pm over there? The front will have to be monitored on Friday. The good news is that Upton not expecting a flash freeze.
Well not everyone likes to window shop, they'd rather get the goods. IMBY, I'm a couple inches short of normal December snowfall so no complaints from me. I'm sure I just set up @BxEngine with a couple one liners.
I distinctly remember December 1981 as snowy albeit I was a mere 9 years old, but there are scenes from that month burned into my memory forever. I went back and looked at the COOP record for Walden. Now we lived in Fishkill back then but this report gives you a sense of the month. It was indeed a snowy mid month period but look at those high temps on Christmas Eve and Day! Even rain too on 12/23!
Not picking on or defending any model here and looking just at this Total Positive Snow Depth map from yesterdays 12z GFS. This happened to work out well IMBY and shows the snow hole in Dutchess.
Heads up, a Lake Effect Snow Warning starts at 7pm tonight and runs until 1pm on Sunday for Buffalo. Hopefully a band sets up over Orchard Park tomorrow evening.