PhiEaglesfan712

The only ones I can find is 1982-83 (super el nino) -> 1986-88 (double year strong el nino) -> 1991-92 (strong el nino). The first two events combined to produce the first jump in global temperatures. Pinatubo prevented another temperature jump after the 91-92 event. Then again, this was all under a largely +PDO period.

The cold pattern in the Eastern US feels like it's already broken this month. Many places are several degrees above average for March.

1958 was the only one of those analogs that really made sense. That was a strong el nino and a wall-to-wall snowy winter, which had a previous KU (in February). The 3/30/2010 rainstorm turned to snow in Northeast PA. (I was able to see snow on the grass on parts of the PA Turnpike on 3/31/2010, when I picked up my sister from Scranton for Easter weekend.) By the end of that weekend, it legit felt like summer.

Not in all areas. Philly and the mid-Atlantic got some good snow, and even the areas that got shut out of snow were still well below average temperaturewise. If you want a shutout March, look at 09/10. Winter just suddenly stopped once the calendar flipped to March 1. The entire spring and summer was well above average.

Yes, this torch is countrywide. You'll be hard press to find a place with a negative temperature departure this month. This month might set a record for the highest tempearture departure above average CONUS for any month. March 2012 had a cold patch in the Western states.

The finishing touches of a wall-to-wall cold and snowy winter. For those who love cold and snow, 1957-58 is one of the very few universal A+ seasons.

I think that was the year of the May 18 freeze. Summer got a really late start that year.

It would be the first solidly AN month for temps since September.

Definitely agree with you there. I'd even take 80 and sunny. Or 90 and sunny. But none of these wild temperature swings we've had the last week. I don't want it to be in the 90s one day and the 50s the very next day. If I wanted that type of weather, I could move to Nebraska.

I mean, I called for a warm March and April in early February. The cold was on borrowed time. We never get more than 3 straight months of well below average temperatures anymore. The last time was in January-March 2015. Then, things turned warmer in April and May had close to record warmth. 4 straight well below average temperature months is just about impossible, especially in this warming climate.

I think mid-April 2002 and March 2012 is the best comparison. They came on the heels of warm and snowless winters, which is what we have in the West. February 2018, on the other hand, was just an outlier warm month, in what was otherwise a cold winter and early spring. If we go back to the 20th century, then the April 1976 is the most anomolous early heat wave ever in the Northeastern US. Providence recorded a 98-degree day in April, which not only smashed the April monthly record, but it was higher than any temperature recorded in May and (until last year's 100) June. [Providence breaking the June monthly high by 3 degrees last year is another amazing feat.] Temperatures never got that hot again in many places during the rest of the Bicentennial summer.

Another thing to watch out for is that we have not had a strong la nina since 2010-11. This is our longest stretch without one since 1955-56 and 1973-74. We are probably due for a strong la nina soon. (If we don't get one by 2028-29, then it will be the longest stretch without one since 1916-17 and 1955-56.) Keep in mind, many of our strongest el ninos have been immediately followed by a strong la nina: 1957-58 (strong) - No 1965-66 (strong) - No 1972-73 (super) - Yes (1973-74) 1982-83 (super) - No 1986-88 (strong) - Yes (1988-89) 1991-92 (strong) - No 1997-98 (super) - Yes (1998-99 and 1999-2000) 2009-10 (strong) - Yes (2010-11) 2015-16 (super) - No 2023-24 (strong) - No

Trading Jared McCain was already a bad mistake. Trading Maxey would compound it. If anything, the Sixers should have kept McCain, and traded Embiid (the timing of George's suspension made him untradable at the deadline, but they could move him in the offseason). The Sixers could have turned the page with Maxey, McCain, and Edgecombe as core of the future. Trading Maxey, while still keeping Embiid and George on the roster, would stunt the rebuild for this team.

What about 1986 and 2009? (I'm not including 1987, because that el nino was already in progress, and it had dissipated already by the end of winter 1988... giving a jump start on the very strong 1988-89 la nina).

Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s.

The problem is that it won't be cold enough to snow. Average highs are in the mid 50s and average lows are in the mid 30s. We are probably aren't going to stray too far from these averages the next few weeks.

December (2024) and February (2025) were near normal. January being well below average made the winter BN. This December, January, and February were all well below average. The first time since January, February, and March 2015. Of course, that was followed by a near record warm May.

No, and there have been snowstorms on the spring equinox before (see 3/20/2015 and 3/21/2018). There won't be one this year.

Even if we do get snow late in the month/early next month, unless it's really obvious, PHL is going to mark it as a trace. I'm still annoyed 4/2/2018 and 3/28/2022 were marked as trace. Both definitely had some accumulation, and should have been marked at least 0.1, if not 0.2

I post in The Weather Forums: https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/forum/3-the-weather-forums/

It already happened in Newark. On July 22, 2011, it reached 108. Now, imagine a July day going to 116-118+ in Newark.

2020 and 2023 were just outlier warm and snowless winters. A regression to the mean had to happen at some point, and the cold finally came those years in the late spring, even early summer months (April and May in 2020; May and June in 2023).

Yeah, that I was in Vermont from Saturday-Monday, and it was 55-60 each day. (I returned home on Monday to 70s and a melted lake.) Definitely agree with you on this. I wouldn't want a temperature swing like that. I mean, I don't want it to be 100 degrees one day in the summer, then in the 50s at the same time the very next day.

33 years ago, the Storm of the Century: https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1993/us0313.php