PhiEaglesfan712

Yeah, the fact that no monthly record low was set in the post-Pinatubo years (1992-1996) makes me believe it's never going to happen again. Global temperatures have jumped so much in the last 30 years.

Big Temperature swings this spring 2026-03-10 83 40 61.5 19.9 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-11 83 52 67.5 25.6 0 3 0.02 0.0 0 2026-03-12 69 35 52.0 9.8 13 0 0.16 T 0 2026-03-13 49 31 40.0 -2.5 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-31 81 62 71.5 22.9 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-01 84 58 71.0 22.0 0 6 0.47 0.0 0 2026-04-02 58 43 50.5 1.1 14 0 0.13 0.0 0 2026-04-03 71 44 57.5 7.7 7 0 T 0.0 0 2026-04-04 84 48 66.0 15.9 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-05 73 48 60.5 10.0 4 0 0.41 0.0 0 2026-04-06 59 43 51.0 0.1 14 0 T 0.0 0 2026-04-07 56 38 47.0 -4.3 18 0 T 0.0 0 2026-04-08 55 31 43.0 -8.7 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-15 91 62 76.5 22.1 0 12 T 0.0 0 2026-04-16 91 65 78.0 23.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-17 83 67 75.0 19.8 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-18 78 53 65.5 10.0 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 2026-04-19 57 44 50.5 -5.4 14 0 0.01 0.0 0 2026-04-20 55 40 47.5 -8.8 17 0 T 0.0 0 2026-04-21 58 34 46.0 -10.6 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-05-18 96 65 80.5 15.7 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 2026-05-19 98 71 84.5 19.4 0 20 0.04 0.0 0 2026-05-20 95 69 82.0 16.6 0 17 0.21 0.0 0 Saturday's high projected to be only in the 50s.

1982 wasn't W based. That one topped out at +4.6 on Nino 1+2, which is even higher than 1997 (4.1). If anything, 1982 should be E based. 82-83 peaks Nino 1+2: 4.6 Nino 3: 2.9 Nino 3.4: 2.9 Nino 4: 1.3 97-98 peaks Nino 1+2: 4.1 Nino 3: 3.3 Nino 3.4: 2.2 Nino 4: 1.1

Is that an all-time record high for the station?

Oh yeah, I almost forgot Providence's earliest 100-degree day was set last year (June 24). 98 was the previous record prior to 6/30 (set in the April 1976 heat wave).

Yeah, 1976 was the year when the highest temp was hit in April, during the Easter heatwave, for many spots in New England, and as far south as Philly. Things turned cold very early that season, with October 1976-January 1977 being the coldest October-January on record. (The spring that followed was one of the warmest on record, despite a snow event on May 9-10.)

Oddly enough, 1991 was a pre-nino May (although there would be the major volcano the following month that made sure the nino event behaved weirdly).

You'll be back to mid-50s weather by Saturday. It's been that type of spring.

09-10 showed that we can get a good winter out of a strong modoki el nino. We just need a good blocking pattern.

I expected the temperature swings to be done by now. I haven't seen a spring as bipolar as this one (I wonder if it's due to there being a really cold winter and the ocean temps are cold), and I'm starting to worry it will bleed into summer. We've had 80 degree days followed by 30 degree ones, 90 degree days followed by 40 degree ones, and now 95 degree days followed by 50 degree ones.

I hope this isn't a preview of summer. I'm just tired of these wild temperature swings. I'd much rather have it be one consistent temperature, whether it be the 90s, 80s, or heck, even 70s. But I can't do it if we're going to have runs in the 100s this summer, only to be followed by temps in the 50s soon thereafter.

Yeah, that 2018-20 period was a disjointed at best. We didn't really have a definitive ENSO or PDO state during those years (the PDO was near neutral for the greater part of almost 4 years after the mid-2010s el nino dissipated), until we got to 2020-21, which was a solid la nina and -PDO.

I know spring is prone to temperature swings, but I don't think there has ever been a more bipolar spring than this one. I hope this doesn't continue into the summer. Imagine it being 100+ degrees one day in July, and then only in the 50s at the same time the next day. I can't do that!

Fun fact: Providence's highest temperature ever recorded in April is higher than its highest temperature ever recorded in May. In fact, it took until last year (when it reached 100 on June 24) for Providence to record a June temperature that was higher than its April 1976 record high.

Not only has a mid-May freeze happened before, there was one just three years ago:

As long as it's not 50 degrees in the daytime soon thereafter, I'll be okay with this.

This has to be the most bipolar spring ever, in terms of temperature. I've never seen so many temperature swings in my lifetime. We've seen it go from 30s to 80s and back, 40s to 90s and back, etc. I don't mind temps in the 70s, 60s, or even 50s, as long as it's consistent. I just don't like the 40-50 degree swings we've been getting this year.

If we get a 90-degree day in May, this spring would be the first ever to get an 80 in March, and a 90 in both April and May, correct?

Oh what could have been if winter didn't disappear and March and April in 1977. It was already a big snow year as it was, but it could have been even bigger if March and April didn't absolutely torch. More recently, there was a snow on May 9, 2020 (as well as a freeze on May 18, 2023). Those events happened after very warm and low snow winters.

1998-99 was the first year of a double-year strong la nina. 1997-98 was the super el nino year, and yes, that one was a record low snow year. 1982-83 was a classic backloaded el nino winter, with the blizzard in February and late freeze/snow event on April 19-20.

Yeah, barring a major volcanic event happening really soon (like Pinatubo did in mid-June just before a robust el nino), I think most of us can agree that there will be another baseline temperature jump coming.

2009-10 is a perfect example that proves that a strong el nino winter can be cold and snowy.

The thing is, the warmer pre-strong/super el nino summers in the Eastern US (1991 and 2015) were preceded by borderline warm neutral/weak el nino winters. We did not have that this year, like in 1972, 1982, 1986, 1997, 2009, and 2023. All of those years had cooler summers.