PhiEaglesfan712

In honor of LeBron going to the Sixers, let's change the lyrics of Will Smith's "Miami" to fit a more Philadelphia theme: Uh, uh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, uh Philadelphia, uh, uh Southeast Pennsylvania, bringin the Sixers , uh Haha, can y'all feel that Can y'all feel that Jig it out, uh Here I am in the place where I come let go Philadelphia the bass and the sunset low Everyday like a mardi gras, everybody party all day No work all play, okay So we sip a little something, lay to rest the spill Me an Charlie at the bar runnin' up a high bill Nothin' less than ill, when we dress to kill Every time the ladies pass, they be like "hi Will" Can y'all feel me, all ages and races Real sweet faces Every different nation, Spanish, Hatian, Indian, Jamaican Black, White, Cuban, and Asian I only came for two days of playing But every time I come I always wind up stayin' This the type of town I could spend a few days in Philadelphia the city that keeps the roof blazin' Party in the city where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn "Welcome to Philadelphia" "Bienvenidos a Philadelphia" Bouncin' in the club where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn I'm goin to Philadelphia "Welcome to Philadelphia" Yo I heard the rainstorms ain't nothin' to mess with But I can't feel a drip on the strip, it's a trip Ladies half-dressed, fully equipped And they be screamin out, "Will we loved your last hit" So I'm thinkin' I'ma scoot me somethin' hot In this salsa-merengue melting pot Hottest club in the city, and it's right on the beach Temperature get to ya, it's about to reach Five-hundred degrees in the Delaware Bay With the hot mamis screaming "¡Ay papi!" Everytime I come to town, they be spottin' me In the drop Bentley, ain't no stoppin' me So, cash in your dough and flow to this fashion show Pound for pound anywhere you go Yo, ain't no city in the world like this An if you ask how I know I gots ta plead the fifth "Philadelphia" Party in the city where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn "Welcome to Philadelphia" "Bienvenidos a Philadelphia" Bouncin' in the club where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn I'm goin to Philadelphia "Welcome to Philadelphia" Don't get me wrong, Chi-town got it goin' on And New York is the city that we know don't sleep And we all know that L.A. and Miami stay jiggy But on the sneak, Philadelphia bringin' Sixers for real Y'all don't understand I never seen so many Dominican women with cinnimon tans Mira, this is the plan Take a walk on the beach, draw a heart in the sand Gimmie your hand Damn, you look sexy Let's go to my yacht, in Rehoboth Beach Ride my jetskis, loungin' in the palm trees 'Cause you gotta have cheese for the summerhouse piece on Southeast Pennsylvania Water so clear, you can see to the bottom Hundred-thousand dollar cars, e'ybody got 'em Ain't no surprise in the club to see Sly, Stallone Philadelphia, my fourth home "Philadelphia" Party in the city where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn "Welcome to Philadelphia" "Bienvenidos a Philadelphia" Bouncin' in the club where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn I'm goin' to Philadelphia "Welcome to Philadelphia" Party in the city where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn "Welcome to Philadelphia" "Bienvenidos a Philadelphia" Bouncin' in the club where the Sixers are on All night, on the beach 'til the break of dawn I'm goin' to Philadelphia "Welcome to Philadelphia" Party in the city where the Sixers are on

The real difference is that 2009 was near record cold throughout in June and July. This year has had wild temperature swings (since March). The first half of June was warm. The second half not so much. The first half of July was warm. The second half of July is going to be cold.

I think it was January 2019: 2019-01-12 37 30 33.5 -3.8 31 0 0.13 1.9 0 2019-01-13 32 29 30.5 -6.7 34 0 0.71 8.3 4 2019-01-14 37 27 32.0 -5.2 33 0 T 0.1 10

Not really. 2009 was cold throughout, with the exception of one week in August. 2015 was warm from July-September. 2023 was cold in June, but very warm in July and September.

I will go with colder than 94-95, but warmer than 09-10, for this upcoming winter. Depends on the PDO, though. If it stays deeply negative, it will end up closer to 94-95, but if it can go towards neutral, then it will end up closer to 09-10.

I think she's retiring.

I thought July 2012 broke the record for the warmest month. Or is that still in verification stage?

Barring a major volcanic eruption, like we had with Pinatubo in 1991, I'm almost certain next summer in most of the Eastern US is going to be record breaking hot. We may not see the high temps of 2011 or earlier this month, but the heat will be more consistent throughout like in 2010 and 2016 (both post-el nino summers).

It actually happened in 2013: 2013-08-01 74 68 71.0 -7.4 0 6 1.33 0.0 0 2013-08-02 86 68 77.0 -1.3 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-03 79 68 73.5 -4.8 0 9 T 0.0 0 2013-08-04 80 66 73.0 -5.2 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-05 78 62 70.0 -8.1 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-06 78 63 70.5 -7.5 0 6 T 0.0 0 2013-08-07 76 68 72.0 -5.9 0 7 0.06 0.0 0 2013-08-08 87 71 79.0 1.2 0 14 0.35 0.0 0 2013-08-09 88 76 82.0 4.2 0 17 T 0.0 0 2013-08-10 84 73 78.5 0.8 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-11 85 66 75.5 -2.1 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-12 86 72 79.0 1.5 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-13 83 68 75.5 -1.9 0 11 2.02 0.0 0 2013-08-14 76 63 69.5 -7.8 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-15 78 58 68.0 -9.1 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-16 81 60 70.5 -6.5 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-17 82 63 72.5 -4.4 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-18 77 66 71.5 -5.3 0 7 0.03 0.0 0 2013-08-19 77 65 71.0 -5.7 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-20 87 66 76.5 0.0 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-21 89 70 79.5 3.1 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-22 85 70 77.5 1.3 0 13 1.08 0.0 0 2013-08-23 77 68 72.5 -3.6 0 8 T 0.0 0 2013-08-24 82 65 73.5 -2.4 0 9 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-25 81 61 71.0 -4.8 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-26 86 65 75.5 -0.1 0 11 T 0.0 0 2013-08-27 89 73 81.0 5.6 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 2013-08-28 76 72 74.0 -1.2 0 9 1.04 0.0 0 2013-08-29 83 71 77.0 2.0 0 12 T 0.0 0 2013-08-30 83 69 76.0 1.2 0 11 T 0.0 0 2013-08-31 88 72 80.0 5.4 0 15 0.00 0.0 0

15 years ago saw one of the most widespread heatwaves for this area. Newark set an all-time record of 108: https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/july-22-2011-a-day-of-records.html

Yeah, the connection has been spotty this morning.

Yes, it was Feb 2015, but if something like that happened now, someone will be quick to point out that +10 temp departure in Las Vegas or somewhere out West.

Yes, I'm pretty sure the August spike was 2023, and likely the September spike as well. I remember there being an anomolous heatwave in South America in August 2023, and another one the following month.

Last year was a frontloaded warm summer, with the heat wave in late June and the warmth lasting all through July. The summer pretty much ended after July 31.

Probably not. I think we've already seen the worst of the heat. Unlike those years, we've had heat early and often, with 80s as early as March, 90s as early as April, and 100+ earlier this month. I highly doubt we see more 90-degree days in August than in June or July.

94-95 was really skewed by February. The rest of that winter (November-January and March) absolutely torched in the Eastern US and was actually cool in the West. I'd say 14-15 was the best match for 25-26.

Makes sense. For about 50 years (before 2015-16), many of the strongest el ninos were followed by the strongest la ninas: 1972-73 super el nino -> 1973-76 la nina (with 1973-74 and 1975-76 being strong la ninas) 1982-83 super el nino -> 1983-85 la nina 1986-88 strong el nino -> 1988-89 strong la nina 1997-98 super el nino -> 1998-2001 la nina (with 1998-2000 being a strong la nina) 2009-10 strong el nino -> 2010-12 la nina (with 2010-11 being a strong la nina)

This was a textbook frontloaded warm/backloaded cold winter. If we continued this into spring, I believe April 1983 was the coldest April on record CONUS. That one had a major freeze/snow event in the Eastern half of the country (impacting the midwest on the 13th-16th, and North Carolina northward on the 19th-22nd).

I'd stay away from lettuce, at least until the drought is over.

Do you have the September or October 2015 prediction for JFM 2016? That JFM 2014 prediction was spot on, lol.

Perfect weather for Eagles football

I thought we had one in late June 2012, just ahead of the early July 2012 heatwave.

I feel like if the PDO doesn't reverse, especially with how big of an el nino we are expected to have, we are pretty much in a permanent -PDO. We haven't had a +PDO winter now since 2015-16, which was more than a decade ago, and is unprecedented. Even in previous predominant -PDO periods, we got a +PDO in there somewhere. Also, if we don't reach 175 ACE this year, it would be sixth straight year that we don't reach the threshold. Here is a list of longest periods with no hyperactive (175+ ACE) seasons: 1. 1962-1994 (33 seasons) 2. 1894-1925 (32 seasons) 3. 1934-1949 (16 seasons) 4. 2006-2016 (11 seasons) 5. 1927-1932 (6 seasons) [2026 would tie this streak, which began in 2021] The thirteen hyperactive (175+ ACE) seasons are: 1893 1926 1933 1950 1955 1961 1995 1998 2003 2004 2005 2017 2020

As I said, I'm going to wait until the fall before taking this seriously. If the strong winter signal is still there in September/October, then you know it's going to be a cold and snowy winter. 2009-10 was the last time a strong winter signal held in the fall during a developing strong el nino. Contrast that to 2015-16 and 2023-24, when there was no strong winter signal in the fall months.