PhiEaglesfan712
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Everything posted by PhiEaglesfan712
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Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
13.7 as of 7 am: https://x.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/2025923299184693488 AC - 14.5 Trenton - 15.6 -
Not always. 2016 was preceded by 2013-14 and 2014-15, both all time winters. And 2006 was preceded by 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05, all cold and snowy winters. Also, don't forget about 2009-10 and 2010-11. This proves that recently it seems like good winters come in stretches.
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Sucks that Islip's records doesn't start like 10 years earlier. It misses out on 1957-58 and 1960-61. I would like to have seen where the February and March 1958 blizzards would have ranked.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Neither scenario is going to happen. I see mostly seasonable, 40s and 50s, the first week of March. Three separate winter events in the first 7 days of March is not even realistic. That has never happened before, not even in the historic March 2018 (which the 3 events were spread over 3 weeks). At best, we're only going to get one, and even then, I think the temperatures are a bit too warm and the sun angle is a bit too high for a snow event. If any precipitation falls during the first week of March, it will be rain. -
39 years ago today:
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39 years ago today. Like today, a Monday morning. I like how they were able to shovel the snow out in about an hour, and got to work like nothing happened:
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Temperatures will moderate out, and I think it will at least be closer to normal, if not above average. We've strung 3 straight well below average months. I highly doubt we're going to string together a 4th. That hasn't happened in a long time. Even those moderated out. 14-15 even turned in a near record warm May after the cold winter. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Unless the sun is replaced with something smaller, this isn't going to happen. January and February were cold, and we avoided averaging 5 degrees below average in either month (we're at -5.1 so far in February, but it looks like the last week will at least be warm enough to avoid). Also, March hasn't average 5 degrees below average since 1960, and there hasn't been a March that failed to reach 56 once since 1906. Yes, not even in the historically cold years of 2014 and 2015. -
The Devils should have traded for Quinn Hughes. Not making that move really sank the season.
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If I remember correctly, it was never apparent that it would not be happening until the event was in progress. I think they rolled with that forecast all the way through. The sad part is that if the storm even verified halfway, 2000-01 would have been remembered as an all-time great winter, with 50+ inches in NYC and 40+ inches in PHL. Instead, that winter is remember as a bust, and not as fondly as the great winters of 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05 that followed.
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Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Last 2" - 5/13 to 5/16/2025 (3.11 inches over 4 days) 2025-05-13 71 62 66.5 3.1 0 2 0.28 0.0 0 2025-05-14 66 59 62.5 -1.2 2 0 1.30 0.0 0 2025-05-15 77 63 70.0 6.0 0 5 0.03 0.0 0 2025-05-16 77 60 68.5 4.2 0 4 1.50 0.0 0 Last 1 " - 1/25/2026 (our last snowstorm) 2026-01-25 24 15 19.5 -13.7 45 0 1.39 9.3 2 Before that was 12/19/2025 (our warmest day this winter) 2025-12-19 61 31 46.0 8.3 19 0 1.48 0.0 0 -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah, then 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05 soon followed, and left 00-01 in the dust. If that 3/5/2001 storm even verified halfway, 00-01 would have been remembered in that great series of winters in the first half of the 2000s (with the exception of the obvious dud in 2001-02). -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
In my area, I think it was February 10, 2010. Before that was February 28, 2005 (this one didn't really pan out, though we did have the NFC Championship storm earlier that year) and then January 7, 1996. -
I think it was the January 31, 2021 event. That one went at least 3 days, maybe even into a 4th.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Is this still slush or now mud? -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
2009-10 was technically a strong el nino, as it went above 1.5 on both the ONI and RONI. So our last moderate el nino was 2002-03. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Can see that happening. If that does happen, I could see 12-20 inches as far west as the I-95 metro area. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Can definitely understand. Until there is actually snow on the ground, there is always bust potential. (March 2001 should have taught us that.) I just learned over time to be grateful for all types of weather as they come to you because you just never know when that's going to come again. Sorry if I do come across the wrong way. I kind of feel like an outsider, if anything, as I'm not a meteorologist or anything. I hold a full time job, and do this just for a hobby/interest. I don't get anything extra if my forecast verifies. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
He's trying to say I was debbing, but there is no proof of it. I said this looks a coastal storm, with those on the coast getting the most accumulation. I don't know why @The Iceman is disagreeing. -
These people have to be under adult age. I can understand if our last snowiest winter was some time during the 20th century, but who could forget about 2009-10, 2010-11, 2013-14, or 2014-15? Those were at least recent enough that people should remember how cold and snowy they were.
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Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sounds about right, but of course this isn't the popular opinion on this board. It seems like everyone wants to hear 10+ throughout the region. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
A cross between 12/26/2010 and 1/28-29/2022 seems the most likely solution. -
I think a cross between this one and the January 28-29, 2022 snowstorm.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Are you sure there's still slush, or is it mud? I was in a winery at Voorhees, and can confirm that the snow on the grass is gone, and it is just mud now. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
I caught, in passing, 101.5 saying 12-20 inches in some parts on NJ.
