Brian5671

#deseperation time

Torchy in the same ol spots....road trip to Colorado?

back to last fall's weekend rainouts...

It's amazing. How long have some of these people been following weather yet you still see the same ol posts every year....

MJO is in 4-5-6 so I'd expect all this to trend warmer. NAO is just trapping PAC air so that's no good.

I would hope people have learned at this point but some refuse to. We've been chasing the "big pattern" since Thanksgiving this year....If it doesn't come by the end of January it's not likely coming...

None of this day 10+ stuff pans out....

100% OVER

Savannah GA and Charleston SC had a white xmas that year-the storm track was that far south

That's what lost in translation here-warm snowless winters generally don't end with snow/cold

Welcome!

It's been more like a Richmond, VA type climate of late....

The lack of arctic air the last 2 years is astounding honestly.

No. March 2012 was a dry torch with a day or two near 80.

Rain. No Cold air.

Yet we continue to see LR winter forecasts way underdone on the warmth.....I know it's a crapshoot though, but I would be wary of predicting anything normal or below at this juncture.

HECS for you this year

I could hear the winds off the deck around 9-10pm last night but not much in the way of excitement at the surface-some branches down but meh as usual for these overhyped wind events.

Big ol bag of yawn. our best winds come when there's no advisory at all LOL

all you have to do is look at north american snowcover to know that blocking wasn't going to save us....

The December pac jet extension was the first issue-this delayed the pattern change to mid Jan. There was also very limited snow cover anywhere in North America by the end of Dec. When the cold and some snow did finally arrive, it was of short duration (and centered to our west) and even before it started models were showing warmth coming right back. At that point it was somewhat clear that it was an isle of cold in a sea of warmth, but the usual twitter suspects went with a big longer lasting pattern change which really never materialized....yess we had some colder days mid Feb and we absolutely lucked out with 2 moderate snow storms with some spot picking up 20 inches b/w the 2. Really lucky there...usually this type of winter is a shutout or close to it.

yeah, yippee some winds to 45 or 50 which this time of year is no big deal

I was wondering if those ultra long range models were simply defaulting to climo/El Nino which seems to be the case

Warm/snowless winters rarely suddenly flip to cold/snow in Feb or March. There was alot of reason to be skeptical.

Long live the "Winter" of 23-24