Brian5671

Day 6 of no sun here.  (had a couple peeks yesterday for a minute or two each time)

12 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Still a decent chance we will see some rain early next week with the remnants of Florence. It is going to be amazing to watch this storm unfold over the Carolina's and even portions of Virginia the next 4-5 days. Hopefully everyone in that area stays safe.

South Carolina now in the game with some models showing a SW drift right at or just prior to landfall.

Warm front finally made it through here around 2pm with some tropical downpours-muggy and 74 now...back to the soup, but the heat looks done given the cloud cover rest of the week.

6 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

I would welcome an extension of summer.  As I remember it, summer really didn’t get started until july(in terms of sustained warmth and sun). What I could do without is the humidity.   I should have clarified my stance 

1st 3 weeks of June were cool, I remember a bunch of days here around 70, but wow-when summer came it came with a vengence.

cool windy and dry here today-the high kept the rains JUST to our SW....trying to move in now.

10 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Ukie might have won this. It always has been south the whole time.

Alot of people thouht this was going to hit the area.

I lost alot of sleep tracking this lol

silly for fantasy range...day 5 or less is worth losing sleep over not day 8

JB says into the Carolina's with a curve Northward after landfall...lots of rain central PA/MD/VA

current forecast...NHC has it weakening a bit in 2-3 days

24 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

I don't know if mods want us to use a dedicated thread for Florence but I figured the weather is currently boring enough that I'll just post here.

Was surprised no one commented on its unexpected intensification.

I created a catch all thread....

discuss here..

2 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

GFS is complete garbage for tropical cyclone intensities.  Modelled sub-900 storms regularly last year.

Completely agree-always over-done-CMC is bad too.

41 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said:

Euro shoves Florence into North Carolina 

Euro I'd pay attention to-euro often out does some of the hurricane models.

GFS recurves it out to sea after that...always fun to track....

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

Records today; reds in jeopardy

New Bnwck: 98 (1929)
NYC: 97 (1929)
TTN: 95 (1929)
EWR: 95 (1973)
LGA: 93 (1973)
JFK: 93 (2015)
ACY: 92 (2008)
ISP: 91 (2015)
 

 

BDR?   (wind has just started out of the NE here so may not make it)

30 minutes ago, Cfa said:

You’ve seen heavy snow at 10 degrees numerous times?

So most snowstorms don’t occur when it’s roughly 28-33 degrees? Perhaps I’m off, but it certainly feels that way.

25 was probably too warm though, 22-23 would’ve been more fitting. I’ve never seen snow at anything remotely close to 10 degrees, however.

He didn't say 10 degrees. Your post said mid 20's...and he's saying that there have been numerous storms with snow with colder temps than 25.     You are correct, many storms are b/w 25-33 however to say that it's exceedingly rare to see a snowstorm at less than 25 is not accurate...there are plenty of examples over the last 30-40 yrs.

2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

Next 8 days averaging 76degs, or about 6degs. AN.

And then there was one!    Only CMC shows Florence trapped now and forced westward to coast.   EURO is out of picture now too.

Climo.   I had to laugh at all the speculation (10 days out nonetheless) that this was coming to the coast.   Low low probability.

54 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I don’t think I’ve ever seen heavy snow below 25 degrees. I wouldn’t be opposed to it though, cold air holds less moisture, we wouldn’t have to contend with the waterlogged muck that we generally get.

Numerous storms have featured heavy snow below that-Jan 1996, Jan 2014 are just 2 examples...

15 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah we're gonna have a 4 day heat wave (MON through THUR) and then much cooler and wet for Friday and next weekend. The question is does the heat come back for the following week?

Not sold on wet if it’s s backdoirvfront... Models showed wet for this weekend too...

Some grass starting to burn out here in the dry/hot spots-seemed unimaginable just 2 weeks ago.

4 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said:

While some are hoping for a large scale pattern change, I'm just hoping for a couple of dry days with highs below 80 degrees with dew points in the 50's or even 40's. 

not going to see that anytime soon...perhaps not before 9/15

8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I hope it's gloomy everyday, I love gloomy weather.

move to Eureka, CA-overcast every day with little temp change

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Very nice day here, also 76/66

nice to turn off the AC for a couple of days, that's for sure

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

Made it far enough East to reach me in Bergen County.

he's in NYC-won't make it there.   the drier air is pushing west.  It's partly sunny here and 76/66

1 hour ago, sn0w said:

Is this batch of rain in east PA generally supposed to stay west of the area? Seems to be struggling to move east much....

doesn't make it east...

15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

You can classify it as a backdoor since the high is to our NE with a predominant easterly flow. Typical continental cold fronts have mostly NW to N flow behind them without the present marine layer across the region.

Agree there.   How quick it washes out will determine how much sun vs clouds folks see the next 2 days...here it's actually clearing from the Northeast to southwest....

4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Nws isn’t buying the big heat for next week. Thinks we mid-80s and that’s it 

They always go conservative and then inch up as we get closer.  They had upper 80's for this week too a week out-how did that turn out?