Brian5671

3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The city is a disaster!!! Busses stuck everywhere 

 

ripping right now with about 5”

5 inches in the city?  Wow

42 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

Good time to be in autobody repair.

white gold they call the snow...

6 minutes ago, CarLover014 said:

So, I guess this will be Winter Storm Avery then for the interior Northeast.

watches for some areas for sure...

2 minutes ago, North and West said:

Correct. That's the nightmare that pops up each and every time there's a storm threat; NJ.com or a similar Patch-like site will pick up on an amateur forecast blog (not like the stable geniuses that populate here) that posts these. Remember the 45" storm that was supposed to arrive a few years ago? It was due to a map like this.

worst thing that could ever happen...my neighbors last night were talking about a foot of snow--come on people....

7 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

storm after storm after storm over the past 10 years and nobody seems to have learned anything 

they're all over social media and people are lapping them up like a thirsty dog.

3 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Picked up 0.88" of rain for the day yesterday.

Next closest reporting station 1.00" for the day.

.96 at BDR

4 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I like the idea of an I-91 extension to the LIE via William Floyd Parkway, the two are almost perfectly aligned, the only issue would be that the bridge/tunnel would be crossing the widest part of the Sound.

given the costs, environmental concerns, etc etc, it will never happen in our lifetimes...

9 minutes ago, Cfa said:

1.62”

Horrible driving conditions for the entire duration of my 7 hour drive to and from Connecticut today, it’s absolutely disgusting that there isn’t some sort of crossing between LI and CT, the trip would’ve taken 1/3rd of that time, but that’s another topic.

heavy traffic with the holiday weekend (for some).     Rumor was that Rte 25 from Bridgeport was proposed to cross the sound and go in somewhere around Port Jeff....never got constructed but wow-that would have made the trip alot easier...

32 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Just had my satellite tv go out with this squall line. Before any heavy rain started. Interesting as that usually only happens during the heaviest of rain events.   

that squall line was modeled much further north-it's northern extent was where the models had the southern extent!    going to end up with about .50 here give or take...HRRR had the lesser amounts and that looks to verify....

HRRR from a few hours ago

8 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

this was supposed to be a quick mover, nearly done with the heavy rain.

even quicker than modeled-most models had the heaviest ending 10pm to 1am SW to NE

big dryslot punching north through philly...if this were winter we'd be nervous....

23 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Could be some more convective elements in place there but overall the radar looks juiced. 

Sure does.  Quick hitter, but some areas will get clocked...

Euro now has the heaviest rains for later today/tonight over Eastern LI-rest of area gets .75-1.25

2 hours ago, CarLover014 said:

Looking at the NAM, I don't think that there would be much thunder/lightning. Like usual, the timing is off a few hours. So I assume it will be a low height squall line. With some wind gusts to 40-50, especially closer to the ocean

quick mover-in and out in a few hours too...

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

It all looks to fall in about 6 hours from 5-11 pm give or take

yep, in and out.   A sunny, but windy weekend looks on tap....

20 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

With a +NAO for the last 5 years.. Those years don't even compare in precip to this year too. 

-EPO has saved the day....

2 hours ago, BlizzardNYC said:

Chill out, cutters are more then normal during fall . I can see the panick already it’s November 6th R-E-L-A-X....

we want storms-that's what's important right now-some of our snowiest winters had a parade of November cutters....

rain shield really broke up-only about .05 here for the day

this event went from 36 hrs of rain to a couple hour with a line of showers overnight (albeit it heavy especially N and W) 

23 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

You mean how no one would see 50+ with the last storm (coast saw 60-65+). 

Granted this is a much different setup but those forecast offices know better than most. 

sometimes though models overdue the winds-how many times have we seen a warning or advisory and criteria is not met...

26 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

odd high wind watch tomorrow, not seeing it and Upton seems to discount it.

probably will be downgraded to advisory-most modeling showing the best winds well north.

some moderate coastal flooding here.  About an inch for rain give or take....

.46 at BDR so far....

2 hours ago, Snowlover11 said:

looks like the heavy stuff is done, mote showery from here on out.

The NAM with another win on the faster arrival and departure of this one....

NAM is quick-the storm is mostly done by 9-10am...drizzle/showers after that...