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Brian5671

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Posts posted by Brian5671

  1. 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

    We’re halfway through Met winter and NYC has under 3”. That’s well below average at this point-about one third of average in fact. By now Central Park should be at 8”. Islip is at 4.7” and should be at 8.8”. Bridgeport’s at 5.7” and should be at 9.2”. We still have a long way to go but it’s not whining to say it’s been a very lousy season so far. 

    I have yet to take out a snow shovel or snow blower.   Big 5 gallon bucket of rock salt has been sitting in my garage untouched since Dec '18.    Feels like the 1980's have come back

  2. 2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

    I never understood why anybody at the coast gets hyped for events like this. SWFE events without a true arctic airmass in place are pretty much non events for us coasties. 2-4 at best washed away by rain does nothing for me personally. It's been a winter of non events thus far.

    Agree.  And it was not even a true arctic airmass.  Once this became slower and drier we were in trouble.  By the time precip gets here we are warmer with south winds

  3. 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

    Thanks Don. The way this winter has gone it would be fitting for the wave to die before 8.

    I can't believe I am starring at my first back to back below average snowfall winter since 06/07 07/08

    Even if so, what an amazing run, 12 years without a below normal couplet.   I had thought BDR was close to normal last year after the March snows brought us up but if we did finish below it was just below.

  4. 6 minutes ago, uncle W said:

    Feb 2008 had a 6" one and Feb 1993 a 4" one...they came a month later when the Ocean is colder...I remember 1972 being a nothing winter until the last week in January...then all hell broke loose but we missed out on the KU that came later in February...

    sounds like Feb 89...although there was absolutely nothing before this storm-garbage winter and then a bust on a KU to end it....

  5. 2 hours ago, PackGrad05 said:

    Hey all.  I'll be in the Jersey City/NYC area this weekend visiting family.  Never been up there when it snowed!  Do a lot of things shut down when it snows, such as PATH train, stores, museums, etc..?  Keep in mind that I'm coming from a Raleigh, NC perspective when lots of things shut down if it snows.  

    If this is the wrong place to post this, I apologize.  Thanks

    agree with BX not much will close for this-you need a monster storm for that to be the case.

  6. 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

    4-8 thump for the area on the Gfs. It’s nice to see but keep expectations in check. Models have been horrible this winter and having a low in upstate ny isn’t ideal. It’s really all about that high pressure for the nyc metro. 

    the other issue is that midlevel warmth usually comes in faster than modeled, I'd expect a quicker change to sleet as it transitions from snow to rain

  7. 3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    I guess the general public outside this forum will be happy with a lower heating bill. The period since December 23rd was the 2nd warmest on record.

    Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
    Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
    Rank
    Ending Date
    Mean Avg Temperature Dec 23 to Jan 12
    Missing Count
    1 2007-01-12 45.2 0
    2 2020-01-12 42.9 0
    3 2016-01-12 42.4 0
    4 1983-01-12 42.2 0
    5 2006-01-12 42.1 0
    - 1998-01-12 42.1 0

    I actually turned off the heat here Saturday to Sunday-set it back on last night before we went to bed.    Amazing

  8. 54 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

    I’m not sure how many time it needs to be said that the rmm plots have a bias for cod at the end. Yet, he continues to rip and read them while they correct in front of him. This will be going 7-8-1-2. Yes, it will probably be muted in the colder phases as it’s not going to have strong amplitude like the warm phases. 
     

    Even if that plot was to be correct, it would be bias cold because the mjo wave is closer to the cold phases.

    MJO has also been correcting longer and stronger into 7 and now 8....Interesting piece on the bias to the COD at the end of the run I never knew that

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