Brian5671

23 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Could be some more convective elements in place there but overall the radar looks juiced. 

Sure does.  Quick hitter, but some areas will get clocked...

Euro now has the heaviest rains for later today/tonight over Eastern LI-rest of area gets .75-1.25

2 hours ago, CarLover014 said:

Looking at the NAM, I don't think that there would be much thunder/lightning. Like usual, the timing is off a few hours. So I assume it will be a low height squall line. With some wind gusts to 40-50, especially closer to the ocean

quick mover-in and out in a few hours too...

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

It all looks to fall in about 6 hours from 5-11 pm give or take

yep, in and out.   A sunny, but windy weekend looks on tap....

20 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

With a +NAO for the last 5 years.. Those years don't even compare in precip to this year too. 

-EPO has saved the day....

2 hours ago, BlizzardNYC said:

Chill out, cutters are more then normal during fall . I can see the panick already it’s November 6th R-E-L-A-X....

we want storms-that's what's important right now-some of our snowiest winters had a parade of November cutters....

rain shield really broke up-only about .05 here for the day

this event went from 36 hrs of rain to a couple hour with a line of showers overnight (albeit it heavy especially N and W) 

23 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

You mean how no one would see 50+ with the last storm (coast saw 60-65+). 

Granted this is a much different setup but those forecast offices know better than most. 

sometimes though models overdue the winds-how many times have we seen a warning or advisory and criteria is not met...

26 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

odd high wind watch tomorrow, not seeing it and Upton seems to discount it.

probably will be downgraded to advisory-most modeling showing the best winds well north.

some moderate coastal flooding here.  About an inch for rain give or take....

.46 at BDR so far....

2 hours ago, Snowlover11 said:

looks like the heavy stuff is done, mote showery from here on out.

The NAM with another win on the faster arrival and departure of this one....

NAM is quick-the storm is mostly done by 9-10am...drizzle/showers after that...

NAM is very wet S and E of NYC-5 inch JP around ACY

34 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It's not. The storm is a quick mover and not completely organized due to multiple pieces of energy interfering with each other instead of a single consolidated phase.

which is why we saw the 970 mb lows disappear from modeling a few days ago...

-

Euro has about 1 to 1.5 inches of rain, most of it Friday night and Saturday before noon.  Winds peak 2-5pm with gusts close to 50 for coastal spots, less inland

12Z NAM-confirms a fast mover and out by mid day as far as the heaviest precip.

NAM while out of range is much faster with the storm-has rain arriving by dark Friday night....

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I was living in long beach at the time and we got a slushy coating on closer surfaces. Same in wantagh where I live now. I drove NW to see the snow and there was def a line in queens where it went from a coating to a legit snow event. The north shore had nothing as you said. That was a truly incredible event followed by an awful winter 

about 4 inches here-just shy of enough to start snapping trees in eanest....just 5-10 miles inland here had 12-18 and catastrophic damage/power outages...best event of the winter but who knew?  Right after we flipped to warm and dry which lasted the whole winter outside of a 10 day period in Jan that brought one 4 inch snowfall....an 01-02 redux....

I'll call bust now....

1 hour ago, etudiant said:

The Michael system has tracked west of the forecasts and appears to be coming up the coast rather than going out to sea.

Is this something NYC area residents should be concerned about?

it's heading ENE and out to sea-NAMs have little precip going forward except for S NJ and far eastern sections

5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Tell me about it, I’m working on a huge terrace project and I’m sick of sweeting.

suns out on the uws. Destabilization time 

might be  the last day til next spring....

10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I'd be surprised if we see anymore with this. 

We're actually behind precip wise this month so rain would be welcomed. 

not up here..it's been nuts...

2 minutes ago, doncat said:

75/74 here currently...0.20"

about the same here-a quick downpour earlier.   Will be interesting to see if the coast ends up b/w the big frontal rains NW and a whiff on the Michael remnants-it will be close IMO

downpour here.