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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Persistence. Crappy seasonal pattern....I'd bet on a cutter any day. Also zero blocking....
  2. Brian5671
    Twitter and the internet are the worst thing that could have happened with LR forecasting-too many click baits for "memorable" winters with I-95 getting big snows and too many 93-94, 95-96, 13-14 analogs tossed around-every year has these big expectations now....
  3. Brian5671
    if we miss out on the "big pattern change" we could see a Met winter with an inch of snow for many reporting stations around here...
  4. Brian5671
    TORCH!
  5. Brian5671
    I would tend to agree with that-if we could get a wave train or overrunning event we'd be good-a storm that deepens/amped will just cut over or west of us
  6. Brian5671
    Yeah, agreed. And will a -PNA the ridge will be there. Need any storm to be weak-a deepener will cut N and W with no altantic blocking
  7. Brian5671
    8 days away
  8. Brian5671
    66 here...feels great...
  9. Brian5671
    he's gone from a 60 day period of cold/snow that would "Strain energy resources" to a 30 day period. With no blocking, not sure how any cold is going to lock in. That's part of the reasons the 2 arctic blasts were in and out so fast....
  10. Brian5671
    I'm talking about the run in a general sense. Not doing play by play on one storm and talking about rain/snow lines and who's getting what. Big difference.
  11. Brian5671
    I'm happy to mail it in at this point...give me 50's and 60's the rest of the way
  12. Brian5671
    GFS is a parade of cutters next 10 days mixed in with colder intervals. Same ol pattern....
  13. Brian5671
    cloudier here today so only 50 so far
  14. Brian5671
    I'm not sure why people do play by play on OP model runs past 6 days....
  15. Brian5671
    yeah we got unluckly this year with 2 southern sliders....that december storm could have been big here had it turned the corner.
  16. Brian5671
    The MJO will be a wildcard for sure. No run through 8/1/2 forget anything snowy....
  17. Brian5671
    a -PNA that'll give you a SE ridge. No -NAO or -AO either so expect a storm track over or west of us...meh. 2 M maps are meh too-most of the cold in the upper midwest-verbatim we're average to slightly below average rest of the month-where's all the big cold???
  18. Brian5671
    Weeklies are meh...shows some colder weather, but it's delayed until roughly 2/25. The week before that is average to slightly below the biggest anomolies are in the upper midewest...the best deparatures locally are in early March, but it keeps pushing out and out and not really moving up in time. Looks like a SE ridge trying to hang on too
  19. Brian5671
    One storm. Late Feb/Early Mar. MECS
  20. Brian5671
    Might get a week or two back end of the month, but yep, you guessed it, just 10 days away as usual....
  21. Brian5671
    Given that winter is mostly dead (maybe we get a storm or two) I'd vote just to have it be warm and dry the rest of the way....
  22. Brian5671
    you've been barking about a great pattern for 2 months-where is it???
  23. Brian5671
    are you a fortune teller?
  24. Brian5671
    people are really grasping at straws at this point....
  25. Brian5671
    The euro has been horrid this winter-great pattern in the long range only to correct warmer/rainier as we get closer. Weeklies too-just awful and not even worth looking at right now.
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