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Everything posted by Brian5671
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unless the back end really performs I don't see S CT getting more than 8 inches. Mixing with sleet here already. (credit the NAM on that) Granted I'll take that and run any day, but the radar really fell apart in the last 2 hrs.
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3" here, 23/21 heavy snow
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
it's here- with some wind as well. We have about 3 inches. 23 degrees as well- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
there could also be a change, but it could be brief, like an hour or two-then the storms gets east of one's latitude and winds become more northerly- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
wow I'm across the sound and we're down to 22- 1,011 replies
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he might be talking about the models for later?
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sleet will be the wild card for sure. southern edge of the snow zone most at risk of course....
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None of that really matters-even if it did the storm is at night. Dews are so low that once precip starts temps will crash.....
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yeah that's what put Boston and souther VT and NH back into the game
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if the storm performs to its high end some places could get 1/2 to 3/4 of their seasonal total in one night
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that's the best bet-back end snows are rare.
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The GFS is a great model if it shows snow.
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will likely come down to a nowcast for some areas
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NAM map-I'm sure some of this is sleet
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10 inches would be a third of our seasonal total in 1 day
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some of the comments are hilarious "this was never an NYC storm" after 3 days of hyping a blizzard....
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everyone's back in after all the moaning this morning...LOL
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it's had that for several runs-some sort of feedback issue
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a thump followed by a dry slot is way better than a change to heavy rain. Take it and run, it's 12/17.....
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Models are tools. You can't lock anything in more than 24 hrs out.
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it was intereresting-someone pointed out yesterday that NYC never got big (12+) totals when Central PA/State College did. Looks to hold true again.
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yeah-we did ok in that storm but it was less than expected due to the sleet/ZR. I'll take a redux of that storm though!
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Ski resorts rejoice-many will be able to open most trails at once.
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yeah and it may have more to move NW-we still have 36 hrs to go
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