Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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it's early-snow is generally rare around here before xmas. I'll jump the ledge in Mid Jan-if it doesn't come by then, it's usually not coming...years like 06-07 are outliers in that regard where the cold really did come 2nd half
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If we get stuck in phase 6 most of these cold December forecasts are in trouble...
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Lack of cold air will be the main issue next few weeks. It's early so no big deal.
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26 for the low here-leaves dropping fast this AM
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We definitely need that gone...some of our warmest/snowless winters have featured a strong Vortex near AK
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2013-14 2014-15 type patterns. Strong -EPO to deliver the cold. Atlantic blocking is good too-but if it's pacific origin air you're just trapping a crappy airmass and that's what I see with this at least for a couple of weeks
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those patterns favor central and northern NE.
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yeah, as modeled that would be 30's and 40's for us-any storm would likely be a cold rain
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Cold air supply does appear to be problematic here with the lack of a -EPO.
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yeah the key is the SW component, a S wind would keep most of us cooler right off the water...
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seems that the temps on the warmup as are always above forecast though
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69 here-just crazy
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I'd leave the day 10 OP maps in banter. Post ensembles etc if you're going to post a map. Otherwise discussion is fine. -
what an incredible year that was...even the 3 week thaw in Jan featured storm after storm.
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Torch water temps in the Atlantic too which can be a problem 1st half of winter
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it's November 14th.
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31 here everything is frozen. Water on top of cars etc
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some decent lightning and thunder here but no hail or high winds
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pitch black here-thunder/lightning
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yeah it sped up too-sun coming out here now...
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el busto here-some good winds but not much rain fall and the back edge is about 60-90 minutes away
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rainfall really underperforming here-models had well over an inch with some close to 2 inches yesterday, we'll be lucky to end at .50
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true to some degree. How often do you see a mild/snowless winter forecasted?
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he usually goes with whatever the euro has
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that cold pool south of AK is cause for concern for sure. We've also been dry out side of the last week of October....want storms right now even if they're cutters
