Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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The good news is that -NAO/-AO in December is often followed by more bouts of blocking later in the winter. there are a few exceptions...89-90 it disappeared and never came back....
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Going to be a small window then...LOL. But yeah the xmas warmup is a tradition around here most years.
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Yep too far SE for Lake Effect and too far NW for noreasters.....
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yeah terrible model-usually misses any cold until it's on us.
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I would say the same here on the coast of CT-recent marginal events are alot of white rain or car toppers...Would that still be true 30 years ago?
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Not offered on Youtube TV-took me a year to realize it wasn't there lol
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Decembers in general that wiff in the snow dept are usually bad winters....there are exceptions of course...
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As long as it doesn't go on for an extra 10 days lol.
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low 60's for a couple of days....well if it ain't going to snow let it torch.
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just some flakes in the air here one time...that's it so far
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How often is there a decent typhoon in that area of the world in mid Dec?
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yeah, what was modeled end of Nov and early Dec is simply not there anymore....that's the problem-not being negative, it's reality.
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I think this is what has some down-this map is from 11/30 for valid date 12/13--looks like it was too fast in the end which makes sense-models always too fast for pattern changes and also too fast to break them down
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need dramamine over the last 7 days. From how many big snowstorms to maybe we'll get something before xmas
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Severe weather event on the Euro down south in about a week. Gets cold here but it's not til day 10. That's about it for a the next 7-10 days on the euro
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CMC saw Sandy a day earlier than other models so you never know....in this case there's no cold air so hard to see how it's right
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It has no other model support unfortunately
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Clippers are rare now that is for sure
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That was a much colder month-this month is a torch so far
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Mostly from 2 storms, Feb and March had a monster each month
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yeah big difference leaf drop wise around here as well.
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It's better later in the season. It will cut off the cold air supply so in Jan/Feb it at least has a better chance of trapping a decent airmass (which is what happened in 2009-10 winter). In December you're likely to trap a crap airmass and that's exactly what we are getting....
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That much is true. People discounted it b/c "it's the GFS" but have to look at all guidance. EPS was bad in 19-20 as well showing a good pattern 2nd half of winter that never came.
