he's been more tame this go around-said the best pattern was west of the Appalachians and only went 15 inches of snow for NYC...01-02 he was screaming vodka cold was coming with al qaeda marching down the frozen hudson....never happened and he finally gave up mid Feb long after everyone else...
It is amazing. same here locally-other than a half inch on the grass in mid Dec-nothing-not even a flurry. Just warm and wet I think we are at 21 or 22 straight days above normal temp wise.
It's all been correct so far. No sign of anything remotely resembling winter. The "pattern change" will amount to a couple colder days and continued rainstorms. Yawn.
10 day winter? I think most would be happy with that at this point. So far it's been a 4 day dry/cold arctic blast around xmas. Almost no cold arctic instrusions other than that and none look to be coming.
need to see a storm OTS to our SE to really get excited...that would trend west and give us the goods. There's also a continuing lack of true cold air which is another problem
there was not much snow winter of 19-20. There was a snow even around 1/20/20 that dropped a few inches-I think that was the last storm of that winter.
We have about 10-15 days. If a decent pattern doesn't show up by then, it's probably not going to. Basing this on other ratter winters like 01-02, 11-12 where the crappy pattern just continued on and on. At least we had great springs those years.
It's been mostly rough sledding since the epic March 2018 pattern. Feb 2021 had 3-4 good weeks outside of that it's been some good storms but no longer lasting pattern