Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Interesting-was not aware-haven't been there in a long time...that's actually good to hear-cost of living certainly alot less than around here...
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From torch to freezer back to torch
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I go to Breckenridge CO for a week every Feb-they have snow OTG from Nov-May and it almost never rains in that period. No sleet/freezing rain. It would get old after awhile.
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Boring place other than snow-many have left the area due to high taxes and poor climate so alot of blight and empty houses
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gets to that pressure later now--- only 995-1000 MB until it gets into the lower lakes...so snow amounts are greatly reduced to the west in areas such as WI and Chicago...
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run of the mill cutter for the most part now
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8 short days away....this current upcoming storm looked good at day 8 too...
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my thoughts exactly!
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Yeah we flipped around 1/1 here...so they went warm we went into the freezer. No sign of that this year-we will torch
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yep into Nova Scotia-very strong hurricane Fiona
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Flash freeze lol. The precip ends, winds come and roads dry quickly...same ol same ol every time. -
-PNA in a nina....they will always do well in that scenario....
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you would need precip to be falling to get a true flash freeze-once the rain ends, dry air will pour in as temps drop-the wind and dry air will take care of most paved surfaces outside of puddles/standing water anywhere.
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Look at all the warmth in Eastern Canada going back to last spring....
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We had about 5 inches here caked with ice at the end-great event but then we torched rest of way...
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Yep Colorado ski resorts have had 7-9 feet of snow since then-one of their best starts to winter ever.
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Models started to show this almost within days of the initial pattern showing up on models. It was ignored but it became the determining factor in the end and we ended up with a couple of cutters and not much cold...anyone that says the warm NW Atlantic waters don't mean anything are fooling themselves...
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never buy into an OP model past 5 days or ensembles after day 10. That's the error.
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We won't see a flash freeze though-those almost never verify-the precip will shut off and the winds and incoming dry air will dry paved surfaces before we breach freezing temp of 32
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That ridge has also been keeping us warmer-the big warm blob of water causing a positive feedback loop on the ridge as well.
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Not over but the December to remember is.
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yep grasping at straws....we're torched with the strong primary going to the lakes regardless
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Fair point but I've seen some patterns where a certain set of analogs are used and then the sensible weather ends up nothing like it...maybe that's just part of the equation it's not always a match in the end...
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And using analogs from colder times-say pre 1990-are largely worthless these days...
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You are probably at least partially right. The NW Atlantic is well above normal and has been for a couple of years-has to play into it...
