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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather
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Upstate/Eastern New York
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Tonights event is all northern Erie. Like I said last night the way the wave is coming in it favors SW even SSW wind. You should be in a good spot for a few inches. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
RGEM for todays event -
Upstate/Eastern New York
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GEFS for snowfall -
Upstate/Eastern New York
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Buf is currently +6 for the month. Snowfall departure: -12.1" -
After a small LES event today into tomorrow it looks like a cutter goes into the northern Great Lakes with a possibility of a redeveloping low in the Northeast. This will allow a chance at a stronger LES event at the end of the weekend. This weekend DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Cold air passing over the Eastern Great Lakes this weekend will bring the potential for accumulating lake effect snow, with the possibility for significant amounts. Lake snows are most likely Saturday night through Sunday night. Saturday, the surface coastal low quickly departs off to the northeast towards the Atlantic coast. In its wake, cold air advection nudges 850 hPa temperatures down to around -8C/-10C by Saturday evening. It will likely be until after the upper level trough of low pressure passes overhead that lake snows will begin...with the best timing Saturday night and into Sunday. There will be marginally cold enough lapse rates for lake snows, but with lake induced equilibrium levels reaching 5 to 8K feet, as winds align Saturday night and into Sunday, decent plumes of lake snows are possible, especially east of Lake Ontario where lapse rates will be slightly steeper. The 00Z ECMWF is most aggressive with ending the lake snows, pushing a surface ridge towards our region Monday, while the GFS and Canadian maintain the potential for lake snows into Monday. Looking further ahead it looks like the EPO goes negative around the 20th. The other indices below With a -EPO and -NAO it should set a battleground for synoptic systems somewhere near our area. I still see some cutters, but we should get into a more active wintry pattern. Looking even further out below EPS GEFS
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The ravens scare me. But you have to beat the best to get to the superbowl. Lamar is a terrible QB, but an amazing RB. Have Milano spy him the entire game. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Easily the Steelers, Lamar is a ticking time bomb. Dudes a freak athlete. Steelers have nothing that scares me aside from Watt and we were able to stop him last time. The Titans beat us pretty bad earlier this season and the Ravens just beat them. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Quite a few of my friends are all about crypto, anyone have any suggestions? One is heavy into XRP, a few into ETH, Bitcoin is too expensive to make a great deal of money. Another bought a bunch of Litecoin last night. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's been 6 days with no symptoms so not really worried. I've been around probably a dozen people who had positives all with little to no symptoms. I'm ready to move on from covid. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What a beat down of the Dolphins. Tua isn't good. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Any preexisting? My buddy is having a small surgery and had to get a covid test first. He had one at ECMC, an hour later he got his results and positive. No symptoms at all. I talked to him at the gym a few days ago for about 30 minutes. His masks is always below his nose. Wish me luck fellas. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Agreed, just saying the USA leadership completely failed in their response. Meanwhile Australia and New Zealand are nearly completely back to normal. I watched a bunch of videos with thousands in the streets celebrating new years without masks on. Would be pretty nice right now to watch next years first Bills playoff game in 25 years in person. Wish we responded to this better. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, I share stuff here over on the Great lakes section. Just wanted to point out were pretty close to herd immunity. Vaccines likely too late to make a huge difference. After you factor in Decembers case numbers that is. An estimated 3 million vaccinations were made in December, while it was supposed to be near 20 million. -
The CDC estimates the actual number of people infected (including asymptomatic cases) at 90mil through Nov 30th (doesn't include Decembers numbers) That’s almost 30% of the country. This is a relatively new update from the CDC (12/23). More here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html That would put the fatality rate at .4%. CDC estimate of influenza death rate for most recent year is .057% (22,000 deaths / 38 million estimated cases). So, if the 90mill estimate is accurate, COVID is 7 times deadlier than Influenza
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The CDC estimates the actual number of people infected (including asymptomatic cases) at 90mil through Nov 30th (doesn't include Decembers numbers) That’s almost 30% of the country. This is a relatively new update from the CDC (12/23). More here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html That would put the fatality rate at .4%. CDC estimate of influenza death rate for most recent year is .057% (22,000 deaths / 38 million estimated cases). So, if the 90mill estimate is accurate, COVID is 7 times deadlier than Influenza -
Happy new year all!
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy New Year everyone! Maybe 2021 bring us some sense of normalcy and lots of lake effect snow! -
Why? The vaccine protects against the new strain too.
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That politician who died at 41, people say he died from a heart attack. Isn't one of the side effects of Covid heart issues? We saw that with the Jaguars RB and a few other athletes. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm really worried about Beasleys impact on our short passing game. He is Allens safety blanket. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't know I watched a bunch of teams gash us this year. Obviously having Milano back is HUGE. . We are ranked 20th against the run overall out of 32 teams. Without Milano were bottom 5. https://www.footballdb.com/stats/teamstat.html?lg=NFL&yr=2020&type=reg&cat=R&group=D&conf= -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our rushing defense is so poor, Henry might get 300 yards. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
3717 deaths and 3880 deaths the last 2 days. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Should be at least 25k but we will take what we can get. It's outside and fits 72k fans
