Yeah but time temps are not as marginal. The RGEM did well with placement and close to QPF. Even at half this we're talking 10-15". Seems KBUF is going with it as well.
KBUF calling for several rounds of snow for Buffalo next few days totaling a foot+
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
Once lake erie freezes im cheering for a WNW/NW event for you tug. You haven't even been in a real LES event yet. Something like this would do it for you.
https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2010-2011&event=C