Most models showed KBUF getting hit until the last 24 hours of runs. It was a close call and as thinksnow mentioned the models do have a southern bias with LES. It wasn't just the ridge lines that got hit. Eden has 15" of snow and thats a few miles south of my spot.
Erie PA got a foot of snow yesterday too. Seems like a spread the wealth event from NE Ohio to the southtowns.