BuffaloWeather

First watches posted ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 9 inches or more in the most persistent lake snows. Winds during the heaviest lake effect snow Friday night into Saturday could gust as high as 45 mph resulting in considerable blowing and drifting snow. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute on Friday.

Going to create a general LES discussion as we will have several events the next 2 weeks

Watches in place for first event ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 9 inches or more in the most persistent lake snows. Winds during the heaviest lake effect snow Friday night into Saturday could gust as high as 45 mph resulting in considerable blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...Erie, Genesee, and Wyoming counties. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute on Friday.

Mid winter conditions

Will likely be blizzard conditions with those wind speeds. Worried a little with strength of band with those winds though.

Got it!

Euro finally gets LES setup for round 2 later next week

Euro Tossed

First round of LES looks fantastic on Euro.

Look at that cyclonic flow, just perfect setup for 1st event. (slightly dry) But that low pressure is close enough IMO.

Euro looking good for first event

Yeah need to get the higher res in range. The first event is almost there, the 2nd event is still way too far out. There will be some insane snow depths off the tug by next weekend though.

Yeah LES most of the time is last minute stuff as there are so many variables. We will definitely have one ingredient in cold air, the rest is up in the air.

KBUF has general idea of LES starting north of city and drifting south into central erie. 80% pops.

@wolfie09 Update your signature snowfall total, its bothering my ocd.

How much did you get with last storm?

Yeah not the best spot for snow in Buffalo. Only a few big LES events in that spot.

GEM delivers but less LES.

GFS delivers

What part of Buffalo did you live in?

Feb 2007 take two?

The top analog for this weekend is 12/24/2001

GFS doesn't look good at all for 2nd round of LES.