BuffaloWeather

Me and the wife are both negative. This makes me thing I have already had the virus even more back in September.

A deepening trough across the Northern Plains Thursday will track east while low pressure crosses the Great Lakes Thursday night into Friday. Initially, a warm front will move across the region late Thursday night into Friday morning with temperatures climbing to the upper 30s to low 40s in most places but right in the morning. Moisture will be increasing across the region and rain and snow showers will move into western NY late Thursday night. Can`t rule out some sleet or freezing rain at the onset with a cold ground and warmer air moving in aloft. It will be a quick warm-up as a strong cold front quickly moves into the region Friday morning. Any precipitation will change over to snow by Friday evening. Temperatures at 850mb will fall to -15C Friday night. Abundant moisture with a trough overhead and cold, southwest flow will result in lake effect snow forming behind the front Friday night into Saturday morning. Localized accumulating snow is likely. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Initial return of colder air pours across the region Saturday in the wake of the cold front that crossed the area, then stalled out just to our southeast. 850Ts in the minus mid teens will bring the possibility for some lake snows east of the Lakes Saturday. A weak area of low pressure will then ride northeast along the stalled boundary, introducing a good deal of shear, thus weakening any lingering lake effect Saturday night, however will bring a general chance of snow showers to the region as it moves through. This same area of low pressure will move north of the area on Sunday. As it does so, it will drag a trailing cold front across the region, opening the door for a large area of true arctic air (850Ts diving below -20C, possibly much lower??) poised over the upper Great Lakes/Central Canada to pour across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic region. This will likely set the stage for our next round of potentially significant lake snows. However, it`s way to early to get into the details, but will be something to watch. The other big story here will be the brutally cold air that will encompass the region by later in the weekend into the start of the new work week.

If you get 12-18" for this storm and next weeks looks big too. That would put you over 100 and pattern looks good going forward. Potential is there.

This winter has potential to be Binghamtons all time winter season. They've jack-potted in every single event. https://goldensnowball.com/ GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 67.4 46.8 39.4 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Buffalo 44.0 61.5 41.9 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Albany 39.5 34.7 35.3 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Syracuse 37.5 76.6 46.3 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Rochester 33.6 57.4 62.0 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960)

Really nice LES signal for later this weekend

Whatever it shows move it NW 100-150 miles.

Well aligned flow, -15 to -17 850s. Moisture is only thing I'm worried about. It looks decent though.

@wolfie09 Euro looking good!

Allentown to Catskills looks to be jackpot zone.

NYC is already at monster amounts. Look at those cars.

Watch that megaband come through! Has to be well over a foot here right now.

Yeah. It's the best setup of the year if it wasn't for a lake in the process of freezing. I still think 2-4' totals in the next 2 weeks off both lakes.

NYC about to get into some very heavy snow

Yeah some sleet mixing in but north of that is all snow

That philly band is 4-5" per hour+

Yep. Going to be quite a few 30" totals near NYC.

Nice live feed

NYC getting smoked

Canadian is identical to GFS. 2 lake effect snow events in the next 10 days. Icon is nearly the same too.

This one looks to start with a pretty large LES in February, pretty rare for WNY as the lake is usually frozen. That month was primarily synoptic.

It's February 1st and looks like a really fun active month. New thread time for general discussion!