BuffaloWeather

FV3 GFS

Models are kind of all over. Even short range ones. Going to be a now cast event.

I'm doing much better. No episodes in 2 weeks. I'm almost completely off the meds already. It seems it really was the combination of caffeine overdose/alcohol mixture that sent my body into chaos for 2 weeks. I've started doing lots of yoga, meditating, drinking lots of water, and cut back on my caffeine a lot. I'll also never take pre workout ever again.

Tug you just got a foot of snow and have 20" on the ground. You won't jackpot every event...

I think the models are factoring in icing of Erie into the equation.

GFS has much better moisture

RGEM looks better than NAM

That band looks like some dry air in it. It's like 3 miles wide, not what we want at all tbh.

NAM doesn't look that great.

Places in New York have been getting insane snowfall totals from synoptic systems. We've only had 2 LES events total here in WNY on the year. One in Dec and one In January. Binghamton had an event where places got 40-45" and then this last storm places in central NY got 30". We've been in the synoptic desert here in WNY. Central/Eastern NY is where its at this winter.

Np, but yes that picture was taken today. Should have some epic snowmobile conditions next 2 weeks up in Michigan!

Better than here, 2.2" for 3 day total. The ratios were pretty low at KBUF last 2 days. 1:10 for that fluff last night? less then 1:10 for the 2nd. 1.4" on .19 QPF. Feb 1st- 0.11 1.1" Feb 2nd- 0.19 1.4"

GSB Update GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 75.5 48.1 43.3 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Albany 46.2 35.6 35.6 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Buffalo 45.2 63.0 44.2 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Syracuse 43.6 78.6 46.8 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Rochester 34.1 59.1 63.1 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960)

Lakes are completely open for business.

Must have been some mesoscale banding there? 10" difference in a few miles from that map.

In December Binghamton area had several reports of 40-45" from the snowstorm around mid month.

KBUF for round 1

KBUF going big

Some 38 degree water temps still

Yeah Erie is at 33 degrees still some places are still at 38 degrees. Very rare. I think 2 weeks from now we will be looking at 80% ice on Erie.

Lake Erie being wide open in February is extremely rare. Only a little bit of ice near Cleveland. Should have about 2 weeks or so of open waters as that cold air means business.

Too far out but NAM takes perfect track for a nice round 2 event behind it along with a few inches of snow. Look at that cold air coming in behind it.

I really wish they would seperate Lake effect snow watches/warnings from winter storm watches/warnings. They are inherently quite different, especially around here with one place getting a few feet while others get a few inches. I don't understand why they changed something that was working. The 1st event starts Friday Night, so figured all watches should be up by now.