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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. One of the best nights skiing in awhile. No wind, temp around 32, perfect lines.
  2. There is a lot going against this event. Lake temps are marginal, winds are very strong and changing, moisture is good for a limited time, and its a short time frame that LES can be produced. Friday-Sat. afternoon.
  3. Probably not, but nearly all models have showed it last 12 hours. As I've already said now casting event. Band likely starts north of Buffalo and drops south into city/southtowns.
  4. NAM seems to have a more WSW component to the winds then previous runs.
  5. Sounds about right, won't be a blockbuster event. Lots of issues to deal with.
  6. The Euro is weird. It gets the cold air here, but amplifies the SE ridge. Not sure I agree with it.
  7. Yeah, it really was a fantastic storm. That retrograding band was fun to watch.
  8. Enjoy the sun and get the vitamin D. Going to be awhile before we see it again.
  9. Yeah. Going after wife gets out of work tonight. Only $76 for 2 people all night.
  10. All I know is that its beautiful outside right now and going skiing all night. This free week of PTO has been fantastic.
  11. In terms of confidence with this 1st event I'm at like a 2 out of 5. Has bust potential. Winds/Dry air/Location of bands forecasted...That's the beauty of LES, this is a now cast storm.
  12. It all depends on where that low tracks. It's going to be a now casting event. The latest GFS has a WSW flow compared to the other short range models. Literally 20 miles north or south of that low dictates where the snow band goes...
  13. The 6z GFS had round 2 of LES across southtowns and ski country. Some 4' totals.
  14. You can chase any event here in WNY. There are citys/towns everywhere. Tug is different story. Most of the big dogs off tug are in the middle of no where. Off Erie is almost always hits a town or city. As you said basically 2 cities to set up camp and hope it hits you. Watertown (SW wind), Pulaski (W/WNW wind) That is unless you become friends with Carol in North Redfield.
  15. Definitely feel more confident off Ontario then Erie. That lake is toasty and doesn't freeze. However, chasing off Erie is much easier than Ontario.
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