JenkinsJinkies

Every time the west coast gets atmospheric rivers in the winter it’s mild and snowless here. As soon as the winter week was over in January California got a conga line of atmospheric river storms. Same thing happened last year too, and in 2016-2017. Whatever mechanism causes this is probably one of the things stacked against us.

Niñas almost always double dip. So it’ll be 2026-2027

I can see them moving over to the PDO since that's the one variable that hasn't changed yet.

Still though, the weenies here will be insufferable next winter.

Enjoy the sub freezing nights because that's probably the only lion we're getting from this March.

March 10 was hyped up last year too and look how that one turned out…

Wildfires can still happen in grasslands

There’s a wildfire in Texas right now, 2nd largest in US history. It’s still meteorological winter…

Looks like DC will stop short of 70s from this torch.

Whatever you do don’t play earthbound.

No, it’s from king of the hill.

This thread will be researched as a case study of when hopes get raised and dashed in a very short period of time. We all got hopelash.

Because Hokkaido has the climate of Canada.

In the future when the pdo flips heading into winter this place will be swamped.

If you look at that chart it was + for a bit in the mid 2010s.

25-26 will most likely be the 2nd year of a double dip nina. Massive bust based on the last few years.

I mean the D in that stands for decadal and it’s only been in place for a few years.

With the incoming pac puke w could get a t-storm at the very end of the month like in 2017.

There’s already articles about the niña supercharging hurricane season. https://www.yahoo.com/news/already-hurricane-season-waters-atlantic-150024951.html

Yes but it’s mid March. It’ll be too warm.

Lake effect stuff dies in the mountains. Most we get is flurries.

I think it’s safe to say the clippers that gave us a couple inches 20 years ago are gone now. Alongside storms that gave us 6 inches back then give us 3 inches now. The big question is if we’ve permanently lost the 1996/2003/2010/2016 types of storms that give us 12+”. If the pattern didn’t collapse on long range a week ago we’d probably be gearing up for one. Like you said earlier this season busting gets rid of the “it’s just a Nina being a Nina” excuse. Now the only debatable point is if the pdo flipping can get us big snows again or if warming has already ruined those mechanisms.

Have you seen the long ranges?

I remember around that time articles were saying how the "too cold to snow" days were disappearing and that's why all those big snows could be attributed to cc.

I don't know if that would be enough for snow if we're straddling March and April.