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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. JenkinsJinkies
    Clippers underperform for us. The Appalachians cause a pseudo rain shadow.
  2. JenkinsJinkies
    If it's this warm 2 days before potential snow it's not going stick. It's probably not going to fall as snow at all.
  3. JenkinsJinkies
    I looked at the Weather Channel, DC will only reach freezing once between now and Feb 9th.
  4. JenkinsJinkies
    And this is surprising? I told you all it would be too warm leading up to this. The early Feb pattern flip isn’t that far away and the opposite of can kicking has been happening.
  5. JenkinsJinkies
    There is no torch in Ba Sing Se.
  6. JenkinsJinkies
    It's going to be too warm leading up to this.
  7. JenkinsJinkies
    I’m east of the fall line and got around 7” in that snowstorm on the 2nd day of spring in 2018.
  8. JenkinsJinkies
    1 day in the 60s (and that’s 60 on the dot) on the 7 day.
  9. JenkinsJinkies
    If it’s this time next week and no can kicking has occurred would that be a good enough sign?
  10. JenkinsJinkies
    I mean PSU said that a pool of warmer than average water in Indonesia is causing the Hadley Cell to expand.
  11. JenkinsJinkies
    If we get a repeat of this past week in mid Feb but with slightly more snow then most of the region will be AN for the seasonal average regardless of how the remainder of Feb and March goes.
  12. JenkinsJinkies
    GFS showed 60s for the 13th, it was still AN but the anomaly got walked back.
  13. JenkinsJinkies
    Maybe wait another week when the 30th is within 72 hours? Of course with the upcoming pattern watch it become a perfect track rain storm...
  14. JenkinsJinkies
    Wow and the rain snow line is well to our south.
  15. JenkinsJinkies
    It's still above freezing in Ontario's cottage country though...
  16. JenkinsJinkies
    Yes but the start of that period was all perfect track rainstorms.
  17. JenkinsJinkies
    The color shading represents the probability of AN temps, not the intensity of the anomaly. Also CPC’s 3-4 week maps have always been low confidence (the site even used to call it experimental).
  18. JenkinsJinkies
    DCA will most likely be at 7" for the season after today, more than halfway to climo.
  19. JenkinsJinkies
    The STJ says otherwise.
  20. JenkinsJinkies
    Plus there's still the part of February after the pattern changes back to a favorable one.
  21. JenkinsJinkies
    For most of the MA if they go this far into winter with a large enough deficit they almost never make it up throughout the rest of the season. DCA could very well be more than halfway to climo after today, a repeat of this week but in mid-Feb would be sufficient to get to AN for the season.
  22. JenkinsJinkies
    It's below freezing where I am and has been for a while, yet liquid water is still dripping from the icicles.
  23. JenkinsJinkies
    Given the models I bet we’ll get 1 day in the first week of February that’s 70+. Happened last time there was a Niño.
  24. JenkinsJinkies
    And in most of the region very little snow has melted from last time.
  25. JenkinsJinkies
    Looks like we’ve got a Winchester snow hole this year. At least it’s not DC’s this time.
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