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JenkinsJinkies

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About JenkinsJinkies

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBWI
  • Location:
    Perry Hall, MD

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  1. Check if the thermohaline circulation has weakened recently. A similar occurrence in 2013 was caused by it.
  2. There was a look on some of the reliable models of the storms ushering in a pattern change. It’s just that after the storm hit it got can kicked and then collapsed. I addressed that in a follow up thread.
  3. I changed the tags the other day, maybe replace the first part of a variation of that. I would’ve done so if I had the ability to.
  4. Therein lies the rub, there's been ample opportunities for that to break down these last 3 years but when that opportunity arises the nw flow abruptly injects steroids or if it is beaten back it's only fleeting and it comes roaring back in as little as a few days. A niño should be able to overcome that but like in 2023 we're instead dealing with winter style futility until we're well past the summer solstice.
  5. Okay seriously, we got burned by another head fake. The forecast for the Memorial Day soaker didn’t disappoint for the first time in ages, and in the week leading up to it the models did show it ushering in a wet pattern. Yet when the system ran its course the follow up rain events were can kicked an additional week and are now in the process of collapsing. Since 2023 we’ve get these big rain events that happen roughly 6 months apart which mathematically should usher in a wet pattern but every time said pattern fails to materialize despite the storm verifying. Did something else break in the atmosphere to make things permanently drier? It’s not supposed to be this hard to get a wet pattern here.
  6. There must be a localized force field for you. My first storm was in March.
  7. Do you want Ellicott City to flood again? Because that how Ellicott City floods again.
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