JenkinsJinkies

Found this in the NYC forum, the Appalachians are acting like an anti rain force field for pretty much the entire eastern seaboard.

So the fire hose is coming in the latter half of the month?

Still plenty of time to reel monday in.

You have elevation on your side though.

It's rare that Baltimore scores while DC is in the screw zone. Though it's not much of a screw over here, it's Central VA that's getting shafted.

Are we looking at a complete dud for today? There’s a significant portion of clear sky.

It popped up less than a week out unlike the more recent rug pulls.

I mean in 22-23 the entire eastern seaboard got shafted and if the niño version of that is the setup we get...

I know better than to announce last rites in May, but at what point would the look of winter be more or less revealed? Would we know by September wether or not it’ll be a dud or will it be like the last 2 winters where the outlook abruptly shifts around Halloween?

How bad we talking? 22-23?

Yeah niños aren’t kind to hurricanes.

Yeah but when that .1-.25 was forecasted to be 1"+ less than 48 hours ago...

It's a budding niño which suppresses Atlantic hurricanes, and an early season system is a unicorn here only happening twice in the last 15 years. An early season tropical system this year has lottery odds.

At the end of April it was looking like May was going to finally usher in a wet pattern, now it seems to have completely collapsed. What went wrong?