People here look at Pittsburg and the Alleghenies and extrapolate that weather magically changes as soon as you cross the Mason Dixon. Look at the philly forum and a lot of times they're dealing with the same patterns as us. It holds in winter too if there's been a lack of Miller B's.
I've asked around since June and first the niño precip change was supposed to be later in the summer, then it was September, then it was October, now it's late October if we're lucky. It just keeps getting can kicked.
DC reached 98 in the first week of October 2019. Several years within the last decade have had 80s well into October, sometimes for an entire week in the latter half. November 2024 also had an 80 degree day.
I just don't understand how a modeled wetter pattern can completely and utterly collapse in a matter of days. If this niño fails to deliver is this the new normal now? I thought climate change meant more rain for this region...