Powerball

Now this is more like it!

The heat lightning on Summer nights in Florida is definitely the best. There was an event in MI about 15-20 years ago (wanna say 2006-ish time frame?) that had awesome heat lightning too. Was seeing frequent lightning flashes in the cloud tops of storms that were hitting Saginaw from all the way on Detroit's east side. Then headed into the evening and after sunset, it was non-stop flashes to the west and NW as storms gradually moved in from SW Michigan (they did weaken before reaching the city though).

That's because there really isn't anyone on here from San Antonio or Houston. You're the only one that posts regularly. Everyone else is from North Texas.

Wow! I figured you were older than 37... And sorry to hear about the surgeries and body aches. That's pretty young to have back problems to such an extent.

Just as I figured, that's exactly how it's evolving.

My suspicion is that tomorrow will be a repeat of the past 2 events, in that the best potential ends up just SE of DFW. These shortwaves have a tendency to end up less compact (thus the fronts also move through faster) once we're in the range for CAMs. Besides, this is one of those setups where while there might be better daytime heating, moisture will be more limited and it will take the entire balance of the day to break the cap for widespread activity (the front is currently proejcted to move through mid-afternoon) Waco and Tyler have both been on a role this season though.

The fact that they say Central *AND* North Texas in their AFD is kind of misleading though. It's shaping up to be a mostly Central Texas day.

Today is definitely cooked for DFW. Down towards Waco is looking good.

Very messy radar/satellite right now.

^^^This post might end up aging like milk. Guessing that the SPC took off the original forecast (This was for the Tuesday forecast) due to it being more of a conditional threat. Then they decided to add it back to the forecast when they had more confidence in the forecast? Threat still reamins somewhat conditonal beacsue of the extensive cloud cover that will be expected and the weak LLJ, but it's a solid setup for flash flooding and large hail.

For now, DTW's temperature departure for this April is still 3.4+ (albeit half of what it was just a week ago). Still plenty of time to go down further though.

^^^This post might end up aging like milk.

^^^The anti-Cromartie...

In addition, the atmospheric effects from Mount Pinatubo's eruption in June 1991 was delayed until the following Summer (1992)

All I see are articles discussing the possibility of an eruption at Yellowstone in the future. I thought there was one that had actually occurred.

What volcano eruption?

Welp, all the 70s are gone from my 7 day forecast after tomorrow (even got 50s in there). And Larry Cosgrove's thinking this pattern won't break until the week of 5/9. If that happens: But at least I got a nice hailstorm before we go to shit!!!

Severe Thunderstorm Warning TXC085-231-210415- /O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0163.230421T0326Z-230421T0415Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1026 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2023 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Hunt County in north central Texas... Collin County in north central Texas... * Until 1115 PM CDT. * At 1026 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Plano, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Plano, Garland, McKinney, Frisco, Richardson, Allen, Wylie, Sachse, Murphy, Anna, Fairview, Princeton, Lucas, Melissa, Parker, Farmersville, Lowry Crossing, Merit, St. Paul and Blue Ridge. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3340 9640 3338 9638 3334 9639 3335 9634 3319 9617 3298 9659 3299 9684 3309 9684 3340 9656 TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 231DEG 33KT 3303 9675 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH $$ 30

We just got slammed with hail. First true hailstorm since arriving to Texas.

I'd argue the same could be said for some in this subforum about winter after the 2007 - 2015 period...

The upcoming pattern will stilll yield solidly below normal for this time of year for much of the country east of the Rockies (with some exceptions). Combined with what is also looking to be a wet pattern with extensive cloud cover, this period won't be kind for outdoor activities and will require heating in many areas. So while it may not be unusual or unprecedented, it's understandable why some folks would be irritated by it. Also, those 2023 positive departure will largely be wiped out by the end of the momth.

Ugly-looking medium/long range for the Eastern 2/3rds of the country...

Yep. Even down here, it's looking ugly. Was hoping we'd be done with the 60s until next winter...

Different strokes... I'm a *BIG* city boy through and through. I stayed in Nashville for the 2017 solar eclipse. I can't do rural areas, for a number of reasons...