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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    For DFW this afternoon, will have to closely watch that Outflow Boundary pushing towards the Red River. There's still some residual capping, but it's eroding rapidly with the low clouds having scattered out and strong heating underway. Also, seeing some very impressive low level convergence as it will run up against a modest 20-25kt LLJ. It can go a number of ways, either new storms develop or the currently elevated line becomes surface-based and reintensify.
  2. Powerball
    SPC seems fairly bullish on yet another round of strong/severe t'storms for DFW during peak heating today. It's definitely plausible with the outflow boundary from today's activity in the vicinity, negligble capping and possibly another MCV from the storms in KS passing by, although the CAMs are still completely clueless with handling this potential right now. If they do in fact develop, today could arguably feature more intense storms with a more pristine EML.
  3. Powerball
    Even parts of Louisiana / Arkansas that weren't even under the SPC outlook for severe weather are now under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch...
  4. Powerball
    It's also crazy because no models picked up on this activity and there was only a 20% chance of precip as of this morning.
  5. Powerball
    Also, Flash Flood & Severe Thunderstorm Warning here in Collin County.
  6. Powerball
    It's been a struggle much of the day, but with an uptick in shear the past few hours, the storms seem to be starting to forward propgate and form into a more solid line now as it pushes into the Metroplex. Over 500 lightning strikes per minute.
  7. Powerball
    https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797340937842291099?t=WRuyFYUyjxTkR8YHhFq0TA&s=19
  8. Powerball
    https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797349231419883962?t=FiBAunQE743CW32v4IiX0Q&s=19
  9. Powerball
    Looking active for DFW a few hours from now.
  10. Powerball
    Oh... https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797301667484008738?t=v-uBruaPqvEdOZHVjiLIEQ&s=19
  11. Powerball
    Spoke too soon. May 2024 will tie for the 10th warmest on record.
  12. Powerball
    2024 wil end up being the 5th warmest Spring in record for DFW, warmer than 2022. This will, BTW, be without a single month in Met. Spring making the top 10 warmest list.
  13. Powerball
    RadarScope is showing a widespread 5+ inches of rain across SE Denton and SW Collin County, just from today's storms.
  14. Powerball
    Flood Watch has just been issued for all eveyone along/north of I-20 in North Texas until 7pm Friday.
  15. Powerball
    Another estimated 3-4" of rain fell with the most recent round of storms part of DFW, with more storms moving in shortly. I suppose flooding is better than a repeat of Tuesday morning, if a poison had to be picked.
  16. Powerball
    BTW, very impressive-looking MCV tied with this activity.
  17. Powerball
    First round is sub-severe, but has turned into a heavy rain threat for the NE. DFW suburbs, with a flash flood warning in effect for portions of Collin / Denton County. Will have to watch the evolution of that 2nd line of storms to the SW of Wichita Fallas for this afternoon though, for severe activity. EDIT: And now a Flood Warning as well for Dallas County.
  18. Powerball
    There is indication in the model guidance that another squall line could move through DFW tomorrow, this time during peak heating.
  19. Powerball
    https://x.com/TxStormChasers/status/1795444984709083629?t=vagqq2FEUa7ss_GOPD01bQ&s=19
  20. Powerball
    Also, 86 MPH gust confirmed in Double Oak per the SPC report page.
  21. Powerball
    The storms this morning produced a swath of 3-5" across DFW. There's still technically a few more days left in Met. Spring. So with today's rainfall (1.91" at DFW) 2024 is going end up top 10 wettest Spring after all. Crazy thing is, I'm not aware of any other year on record that had both a top 10 warmest Spring *AND* top 10 wettest Spring...
  22. Powerball
    This would likely be where a low-end tornado gets confirmed (if one's confirmed), a neighborhood in Garland... https://x.com/wfaa/status/1795495628090261770?t=Vm3mqeHY6Y9e4KWTU589lA&s=19
  23. Powerball
    95 MPH wind gust in The Colony... https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1795482130140823667?t=OEQ6wzzQ8YGMxHRbX-WWmg&s=19
  24. Powerball
    https://x.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1795482050860114273?t=HkK7k4QCxR2HHUHOia40gQ&s=19
  25. Powerball
    Getting widespread post-storm gusts of 40-50 MPH (wind advisory criteria).
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