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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. And it's very fitting that a potential 110*F day starts off with a hazy sunrise from Canadian Wildfire Smoke...
  2. Talk about a back-loaded Summer (2023)... What's also crazy about this number for DFW is that drought conditions haven't been nearly as severe/extreme as they were in the other top 5 years.
  3. How many 100*F+ days has Houston seen so far this season? EDIT: Never mind. I think I found the answer (26 days as of 8/17).
  4. The 00z EURO OP run brought the tropical wave back in earnest. I'm hoping it *DOESN'T* happen so that DFW can move further up the ranking for 100*F+ days. We're 11 days away from catching up with 2022, and still 4 days away from cracking the top 10 list. We're also in the running for at least the 2nd warmest August on record (2011 being the 1st). And all but 3 of the remaining days in August will have to be 100*F+ to crack the top 10 highest number of days in a month.
  5. Oh my Sweet Summer Chile... Y'all got several months of that crap incoming after this last heat ridge flexs it muscles.
  6. It would be funny if a 600dm death ridge did set up over Alek next week, after the way this Summer has gone.
  7. It's 99*F at DFW as of 12pm, but the stiff NW wind has kicked into gear. Just need that last degree (with full solar insolation) to get that 22nd consecutive day...
  8. Achieved a record high of 106*F today at DFW (previous record was 105*F set in 1951).
  9. With respect to the MJO, from a temperature standpoint, Phases 8 climatologically-speaking translates to anomalies near normal across Texas. And with respect to the dewpoints, IMO, going with a blend of the GFS and the foreign mosels is likely best. You do have a point about the GFS likely being too aggressives with the lower DPs, but I also think there should be some consideration given for the dry soils & strong subsidence on the backside of the trough to help with efficient heating.
  10. Eh, the 00z GFS is notorious for mixing too deeply (even in Compressional Heating setups), and actually has been the slowest to catch on to this "cool down."
  11. This brief reprieve in the pattern can definitely be attributed to the MJO, as it keeps meandering on the edge of the COD and Phase 8. Kind of annoying for statistical posterity though, because this 1-2 day reprieve will break what otherwise could be an impressive streak of 100*F+ highs and 80*F+ lows for DFW. Still, provided the front doesn't speed on up Monday any more than it already has, this streak should be good enough to surpass 2022 at least...
  12. Pretty impressive-looking hail cores just NW of Minneapolis on radar, although they now appear to be weakening somewhat as they push into the metro area. EDIT: Scratch the weakening part. R.I.P. to people's cars in MSP.
  13. With mostly clear skies last night, DFW finally broke the 85*F+ low streak after 6 days. The low this morning was only 8F*F
  14. Unless something wild happens this evening (I.E. rogue pop-up t'storm at/near the airport), yet another record maximum low was set today at DFW of 86*F (previous record was also 85*F in 2011). In fact, that ties for the all-time record (also most recently set in 2022).
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