Powerball
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Everything posted by Powerball
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HRRR is finally coming back to earth with the 18z run.
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It was still a decent snowstorm for the Detroit area (just not a big dog)
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12z UKMET has taken a step back from the amped runs yesterday. It looks more like the GGEM now.
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Severe weather easy to predict? *Laughs in Southern Plains under DFW's cap of steel*
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12z NAM will also continue to be amped / NW...
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Yeah, they punted. Kind of funny, but not surprising.
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Perhaps a more unfortunate trend is that the models have been slowly but steadily doing away with the initial WAA snow...
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12z HRRR is holding firm with the amped / NW solution. We'll see if the other 12z models follow suit...
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I have to imagine that DTW, IWX and GRR issue watches for portions of their CWA this morning. Certainly enough of a consensus in model guidance to support it at this stage...
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lol
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The 18z RGEM is also looking more similar to the UKMET and NAM, for what little it's worth...
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It did end up similar to the UKMET for eastern areas.
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I see Detroit has been NAM'd...
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It appears only 3.6" fell at DTW. Definitely a bit of a underperformer, but perspective is key. It's the best widespread snow event y'all have seen all season...
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BTW, what happened with the social media rumor that Jim Cantore would be in Detroit? I did check Fox Weather as well, and they're only in Grand Rapids, KC and Chicago...
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It's definitely shaping up to be your type of pattern. Even if the snow amounts with any one storm don't end up being significant, it should be enough to build deep-ish snowcover with snow on top of snow. Congrats!
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Isn't that a model projection for the next 10 days? The tweet was an image of temperature departures in January...
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Lol at the US South standing out as the cool spot...
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It was Mike Seidel who came to town then...
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It never rains in Southern California either...
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I double checked IEM to be certain, and 1/12/24 was *NOT* a warning. 3/3/23 was the one that had a late upgrade to a Warning, and DTX came pretty darn close to pulling the trigger on a Blizzard Warning before mixing occurred (it was *THAT* close to being a biggie).
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Cool! And will do!
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There's going to be hard limit on the NW extent of this storm, given the overall flat/progressive pattern aloft. That said, the impressive baroclinic zone in place will support some nice frontogenesis banding in the cold sector. Feb. 2007 and Dec. 2000 might be good analogs...
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Powerball replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
lol beavis...
