Maggie Valley Steve

Woke up to 33 this morning with frost. I just emptied 3.24 inches out the gage for the week. Not too shabby at all!

What a raw wet day in the Valley. Temperature started out in the upper 30’s and has managed to 'heat up' to the mid and upper 40’s this afternoon. GSP stated in their afternoon disco that the freezing levels are beginning to drop rather quickly and a good chance for snow showers from 3500 ft and the possibility of some light accumulations.

We've been stuck in the soup for 3 days with temperatures stuck in the 40's. It looks like there may be a wintry mix Thursday night into Friday morning above 5K and freezing temperatures possible early Saturday morning. I'm keeping an eye on early next as yet another Gulf Coast low organizes with an digging upper trough and robust cold front headed our way. The models have flipped from a clipper to a wrapped meandering upper low. If this is the pattern ahead as we head into November, things could become interesting.

42 and rain this morning. It's going to be an interesting week weather wise. Thursday night into Friday morning we should be under the influence of a potent cold core upper low. Temperatures look marginal at this range, but surprises often occur in a transitioning pattern. I continue to see additional changes towards a colder regime and periods of unsettled weather. Oh, and they have started making a snow mound at Tube World last week. Tis the season!

Coldest air of the Fall Season so far ahead for early Friday morning. My 8 to 10 day long range forecast is depicting snow next Thursday and Halloween. If the model trends hold into early next week, we may have a legitimate chance of at least some up slope snow. We will see what if any influence Melissa and a potent upper low dropping out of Canada bring regarding our sensible weather.

43 this morning in the Valley.

34 currently at the house and the first light frost of the Fall Season.

My afternoon point and click forecast is showing 34 for the low Monday morning and again on Tuesday morning. Wednesday morning is showing 32. Next week is looking chilly.

Always climo. That keeps them 'safe'...wink...

We had a chilly low this morning of 40. A backdoor front arrives overnight will reinforce cooler temperatures and a chance of some showers Sunday with the arrival of a stronger front. The leaves in the Valley should be near peak this weekend. I'm seeing a trend in the longer range guidance suggesting stronger cold fronts pushing through until the end of October. Even some hints a snow showers in the longer range!

We've had a nice stretch of amazing weather the last several days. Another cool front arrives Wednesday providing additional pleasant cool temperatures with a stronger shot of cool air and perhaps a shower or two this weekend. The fronts are becoming more frequent and progressive. The days are getting shorter and winter will be here before we know it!

My low was 40 even with a low stratus deck.

No chance of frost in the morning. We've been socked in with clouds since overnight last night. Even with the clouds this morning I managed a low of 49.

Looking more likely we could our first frost Friday morning. Leaves around the house are almost done falling and we did a major leaf blowing today. The worst is almost over for me except for my allergies!

Take with a grain of salt, but the GFS has been rather insistent on a strong front arriving around the 20th to 21st. Our first freezing temperatures are near those dates climo wise.

Temperatures warmed overnight as the wind turn to the SE. Mugginess also returns with chances of rain until the next stout cold front arrives Wednesday. I'm seeing the cold fronts progressing fairly quickly in the medium range into long range.

What a glorious day in the Valley today. Beautiful Carolina Blue skies and temperature briefly touched 70. The leaves are quickly beginning to drop across portions of the Parkway. My Poplar trees should be done next week which is the earliest I've seen in the past 5 years. This weekend should be peak for elevations above 5K. Temperatures in the upper 30’s tomorrow night and again on Saturday morning should escalate the leaf change down into the higher Valley location in the week ahead.

We've been in the clouds all day with the Wedge firmly established. Drizzle has returned in earnest this evening in the Valley. I had a high of 69 today and a low this morning of 58. Thanks for sharing your amazing pictures Timm! I always look forward to you sharing!

Breathe easy neighbors. I like our chance tonight. Cold air is coming!

We're getting showers in the Valley now. Heavier rain looks likely for some.

TD 9 has formed via the 11AM NHC Update.

12Z Track guidance

Morning Update from the WPC regarding excessive rainfall and amounts.

I just emptied 1.65 out of the rain gage for the last 72 hour. Most of that fell late Wednesday night into yesterday morning.