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Violentweatherfan

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Everything posted by Violentweatherfan

  1. Violentweatherfan
    These are two really good posts. Especially when forecasting accumulation expectations
  2. Violentweatherfan
    This has to be one of the funniest gifs I’ve seen, credit ironty from the md forum
  3. Violentweatherfan
    I’m convinced it’s the NWS budget cuts
  4. Violentweatherfan
    I’m still looking for any appreciable snowfall, more than 10 inches that has occurred during a weak La Niña with the MJO in phase 4. Oh and very little cold air to work with.
  5. Violentweatherfan
    Don’t do that to yourself
  6. Violentweatherfan
    It must have been the El Nino and active MJO pattern
  7. Violentweatherfan
    I’m thinking greenskeeper
  8. Violentweatherfan
    Everyone was on that bandwagon, I remember Paul Kocin on TWC Friday night showing a graphic with SEPA in the bullseye with 2 to 3 feet of snow. Then on Saturday a coworker saying it wasn’t going to snow, and I was like wtf get out of here.
  9. Violentweatherfan
    We do get snow when the MJO is in phase 4 or phase 5 but nothing of significance. Our first snow this season, the one that was a “two-part” system kinda over performed. Those totals where what 6” tops. So when models are spitting out 12” inch totals or more, you have to be careful with expectations
  10. Violentweatherfan
    Actually you want the MJO to be in phase 8 or phase 1.
  11. Violentweatherfan
    The MJO is gonna be in phase 3/4 by this storm period. I’d temper the excitement and brace for a model change
  12. Violentweatherfan
    The MJO is going in the wrong direction too. Not sure how late February to mid March is gonna deliver. The only possible is if the MJO forecast is wrong
  13. Violentweatherfan
    He also pointed out how off the forecast was for the MJO. It’s definitely going in the wrong direction so here is to hoping if is off about that.
  14. Violentweatherfan
    Oh man, that must have felt awful
  15. Violentweatherfan
    Didn’t Feb 5, 2010 and Feb 9,2010 delivery the goods?
  16. Violentweatherfan
    My thinking is could this be the reason the models are playing catch up
  17. Violentweatherfan
    What are your thoughts regarding the possibility of cutbacks (lack of funding) to NOAA/NWS impacting model data early on and then getting better sampling later. Therefore odd model solutions
  18. Violentweatherfan
    On the video I posted there is mention that the precipitation field should be more expansive. Yeah there will be sharp gradients but the field should be further west
  19. Violentweatherfan
    This is great discussion, but the info from late last night’s runs aren’t included
  20. Violentweatherfan
    I watched a weather video last night and the synopsis was that the low isn’t wrapping up or phasing with the sub tropical jet therefore it’s as it is being pulled east
  21. Violentweatherfan
    It’s not our storm folks
  22. Violentweatherfan
    Hey, just asking what if we get a couple of feet of snow out of this? Where are we gonna put it?
  23. Violentweatherfan
    I just moved to Jamison PA in 2024 and according to Wunderground several places went below zero it’s last year.
  24. Violentweatherfan
    Oh come on, the both of you aren’t fooling anyone.
  25. Violentweatherfan
    Anyone needs a break in between the models these guys are pretty good.
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