I think it’ll be sleet, what also concerns me is the redevelopment off the coast might bust.
Also am I seeing the 6Z GFS has no sleet/ZR in our area?
Edit: let’s not forget the dry slot potential
Per WPC the northern shift could be a mirage. Due to the intensity of the phasing of the northern jet and the sub tropical jet. WPC is confident that the interaction between streams is slightly over amplified and the trend won’t be so northern and will adjust with better sampling as the week progresses
I think the GFS is what it is because of how it’s handling the cold air. Therefore suppressed, how often do these super cold temps verify. Rarely, so I think the GFS will come north