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Violentweatherfan

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Everything posted by Violentweatherfan

  1. Confluence is forcing dry air eating up potential accumulation along with a weaker surface low
  2. MA forum mentioned that the it’s missing on this latest run on GFS
  3. What are the models using now rather than actual data from the w pac
  4. From what I understand is this is an overrunning event. Moisture won’t come from coastal redevelopment. Models pushing this south are picking up on a “lobe” from the PV above Maine is what might be causing the southward trend
  5. Really good video explaining Confluence and how it can impact accumulations
  6. First round in Jamison was pretty intense. Some hail mixed in too
  7. Miller B storms are the preferred storm type for central nj and northward. I’d prefer Miller B storms over Miller A if I lived in this forum area.
  8. Not concerned with all of the suppression talk in the other sub forums since the cold is most likely overdone. We really only need it cold enough to snow.
  9. You’d be very welcomed in the Philadelphia forum
  10. I’d have to say I’m all in. I use the most recent trends and performance of recent events and I believe it will be cold and snowy this winter
  11. This was another over performer at least for my area. 1.2 to 2 inches of fluff
  12. That was pretty intense for Langhorne, definitely best storm in a long while.
  13. Just when I thought is was gonna miss lower bucks
  14. Pretty even across the county with the exception of the 102 degree reading
  15. Just asked the kid if we’re gonna watch the lightning bugs and bats tonight
  16. At least the sky is blue, puffy clouds, and greenery. If it ain’t snowing winter blows.
  17. Beats what the winter has to offer, 35 degrees and rain
  18. How’s the sargassum seaweed report
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