Bob Chill

Didn't lose much snow today. Took a sunset walk and it was crazy scenic still. What a week...

Gfs d16 setting up for a severe Boxing Day storm... just the wrong kind of severe

A simple trough progression brings winter right back to the conus. Winter is lurking and waiting to pounce. Of course if the trough digs in the west, winter won't be in east for a little while lol but there is nothing depressing about that plot in the big picture. Move the swath of zonal into Canada and we in some trouble. Serious trouble lol

Pretty tuff and dirty stuff right now lol. Building a locking block retaining wall. 60' long x 3' high. 285 blocks at 65lbs each lol. Few call that a blast hahaha. Next up is a timber framed 12x24 greenhouse. That will actually be pretty fun. Hard job but fun. You guys can set the rafters On topic post: Cold period looks very likely to break down for an unspecified period of time with much uncertainty beyond that.

12/2: T .003" zr and 5-6 sleet pellets 12/5: 3.0 12/8: 3.8 Total: 6.8

I lived in the CO rockies from 92-99 so I missed that year but I feel like I missed out lol. I was jealous of the Jan 96 storm and we got 150" that month lol. I have problems. I'd be happy to go over the entire list with you sometime. Next time you have a full week off we can meet up and get started and cover at least half of the issues.

A foot of ice is on my bucket list. I'd take a 12" ice storm over a 12" snow storm but that's just me

Still snowing here. I'll go with 3.5" for me. Might have hit 4 but the early compaction is what it is and I'm conservative with my measurements. Still snowing so maybe 4" is in the cards. This was such an awesome event. Snowed continuously from 7:30am past sunset. Cold north wind and dropping temps all day. Snow blowing off the eaves and trees. Dark grey sky when it did lighten up at times. True deep winter vibe and that doesn't come easy down this way. Very thankful for the good luck even though my friends north of me couldn't share this one. Tables will turn soon enough and I'll be on the outside looking in lol. I'm pretty satisfied for a while.

Somewhere between 3-4" around here. Been windy so measurements vary. Cold too at 27 degrees. December to remember for my yard.

Gefs is starting to pick up on a building -nao and lower heights in the east so now ensembles are diverging too. Seasonal trend is muted lr warmth and blocking has been friendly since beginning of Nov. My gut says the gfs/gefs is probably on the right track. Timing is tricky because we're so used to adding 5 days when flipping warmish to coldish but there's a case to make for a quick transition. Interesting period imo

Clean 2" in these parts so far. Lost some due to warmish start and not high ratio stuff but a beautiful scene and pretty breezy so sideways snow at times lol. Oscillating between light/mod right now. 3-4" tops still seems good unless ratios jump. Deep winter day for sure either way

2 fantasy gfs runs in a row dropping the blocking hammer after a brief zonal relax. Fits the personality of the last 6 weeks and makes sense to me. Might be too quick or a total fantasy but my gut says some version of this is coming back before 2026

Slow start here but steady mod snow now. Closing in on an inch but not there yet. Looks like the next 3-4 hours will be the bulk of the heaviest snowfall for me. 5" seems like a stretch though. 3-4" seems reasonable

IME, it's not very accurate with pinpoint stuff during snowstorms. Hourly runs are kinda jumpy. I personally don't like it much during the winter as it's often more misleading that other mesos like the 3k nam at close range. It can be good with summer thunderstorms. Especially lines of them but even then it can be jumpy beyond 6-8 hrs. Since i don't follow it much I could easily be wrong and it may be more reliable than i think.

Fantasy 6z gfs fired the first warning shot..... Return of the -NAO as well... lol