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About Bob Chill

- Birthday July 15
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
Va48
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Penhook, VA
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Interests
Cat 5s up the chesapeake and a foot of ice
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Bob Chill replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Under an advisory down here but of the wind variety. It's howling with some random flurries so at least I got some snow. Rain performed well. It poured last night lol. The Miller a/b debate has been going on since I joined Eastern in 06. The truth is that true/clean Miller As and Bs are more rare than something in between. The majority of our coastals are hybrids and have parts of both. Imo, the current storm is not a Miller B screw job at all. There was a solid period of WAA precip AND half decent backside precip. Those are pretty good to the DMV. Screw jobs are either late developers with no WAA precip or having the WAA die off and lull during the transfer then everything after is too late for the MA latitude. The current storm is what you want with a hybrid but the front side was wasted because of temps. That's just the way it goes sometimes. It will happen again -
March 2007 (both events) and March 2022 analogs are on the list right now. Pattern seems pretty favorable for the MA considering it's getting pretty late in the season. I'm probably too far south but imo, the DMV probably has another chance or 2 before time runs out. It hasn't been a super productive year but interesting winter wx has been on the table since the start and this season is from from a dud/ratter. The amount of snowcover days down here probably falls in the top 10% of recent history.
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
Bob Chill replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I hope the old school MoCo/HoCo band sets up and dumps white asteroids for hours hahaha. Unfortunately I've had to root against this one down here and was never in the game anyway so it was easy. The 3 week glacier really set me back with property development work and I'm behind schedule. Picked up 2 nice excavator jobs for the second half of March so I'm seven days a week on our land until then. Had a real good winter down here this year. I gotta root for warm and dry from here on out so I'll only jump back into wx disco if I'm in legit crosshairs for a late season event. Always pulling for my northern friends. Enjoy the storm! -
Low vis mod rain all morning. Just a wonderful cold rain piling up in ditches, potholes, and mud depressions. Y'all jelly don't lie now. Planning doing a jebdrive to knock off a few layers of dirt salt here shortly. I'll take pics
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Mammatus cloud sunset. Rare but they happen in the dmv once in a while. Mammatus clouds behind a gnarly thunderstorm are wild but toss a sunset color pallet into it and it's other worldly. Not my pic but what a show here...
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Idk. Been a snow magnet this year. Radar looks half decent for continued showers/squalls but highly doubt it will amount to much.
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Dumping down here. Legit mod+ snow lol. Roads caved!... or haven't been plowed in 2 weeks.... one or the other.
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Ended up with a clean half inch last night.
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Official car topper now and temp down to 32. Might pull off something, measurable if another pulse comes through.
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Snowing lightly down here. Started around sunset with snow pellets. Slowly transitioning to dendrites. I'm at 33 degrees so it prob won't accumulate unless it picks up quite a bit. Euro says I get 1-2" lol but I think those odds are 1-2% lol
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Ukie says don't even write off the pre-PD3 event lol Models breaking persistence too quickly has been a thing for as long as I've played this game. In both directions many times. Since most of our winters kinda stink it feels like that only works against us but persistence is a real thing and toning down warmth in the LR has been happening since early fall lol. It doesn't surprise me at all that guidance has been easing off the warmth part of the pattern. Remember JFM 2014? Day 15 warmth was a staple in guidance. Remember how it went lol? We need a pattern change or it will just keep being dry and cold. Looks pretty locked in that flow will be MUCH more active than its been for many weeks. Back off on the warmth and keep sending shortwaves our way every 3-4 days and we're bound to chaos/luck into something.
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It's one for the books down here. I'm still at basically 100% coverage. Many side roads are still a packed glacier. Took my dog up smith mtn fire road yesterday and someone had a snowmobile up there within the last couple days lol. 100% coverage for 12 consecutive days has to be a record or close to a record in these parts. My climo kinda sucks (12"+/-) but I'm at 13"+ with 4 legitimate accum events. This winter gets a minimum grade of A- from me. If PD3 pans out or any other decent accum event it would be an A+ based on how I look at this stuff.
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Winter wasn't in the dumpster fire category up to that point but watching BOS get 100" of snow in 3 weeks while we missed....every.single.storm... was awful lol. Shortly after Jeb's epic "Scumstonian" rant our fortunes changed. The VD squall was wild. I got 2.6" in 30 minutes then the bottom fell out on temps. I was grilling in the single digits with howling winds after getting squalled. What a great day and beginning of an epic run. I pulled my Rockville yard totals for 14/15. Dec sucked but JFM more than made up for it. 11/26 .8 01/06 3.8 01/21 2.0 01/26 2.3 02/14 2.6 02/16 3.2 02/18 .2 02/21 8.3 02/26 1.8 03/01 .3 03/05 6.8 03/20 1.5 Total: 33.6
