Bob Chill

Tomorrow has the feel of an overperformer and I hope I'm wrong heh... Wind advisory hoisted for my yard tomorrow for gusts to 50mph so any severe that develops in that environment is going to push stuff around and over lol. Chainsaws will be getting a workout me thinks.

12/2: T .003" zr and 5-6 sleet pellets 12/5: 3.0 12/8: 3.8 1/25: 4.3 (1.8 snow / 2.5 sleet) 1/31: 2.5 2/4: .5 3/12: .4 Total:14.5

Deeeeep winter lol

Mod snow/sub 1mi vis. Starting to stick a little. Honestly didn't see this coming. Was certain it wouldnt work down here. Hope this slug translates to the DMV. Was covered in sweat and dirt 24 hours ago. Wx is awesome lol

Slush missiles have commenced. I didn't believe the models showing snow this far south but hey, I'll take the win.

Thundersleet lol. What a wild day

Should have waited 60 seconds before I posted... sleet now lol

Still rain here but had a heavy roll thru and it frosted the pines at the top of smith mountain. I'm at 900' and top of smith is 2k'. Not sure if snow will make it this far down but it's pretty close....

There's been some poor post quality this year. You know this up down but mid/late March snow can 100% happen all the way to the coast. Even in RIC (3/12/2022). It's not common because it requires some specific longwave features to overcome climo. A legit-AO and/or -EPO can 100% deliver an airmass capable of producing. They don't last as long as earlier in the season so windows of op are shorter but a warning level snow is in the deck for all of us.

Upper levels have looked pretty blah on this one since the beginning. I agree with Wes about the overcooked potential and that's why I've been quiet. It's just not adding up for a 6" snowfall anywhere. Weak sauce won't do it with surface temps so I've been leaning towards SnowTV at best and I also don't think it ends up hitting my yard. Central VA thru the DMV is the most likely area to see any snow falling. If I only saw this panel on the GFS I would never think a 6" snowfall would be the outcome. I would think a swath of scattered light precip and not a shield that drops .5+qpf. All that said, models haven't locked into the strength of the shortwave and it definitely bears watching for accum snow for someone. The setup with the HP pressing into the precip is much better than HP running away. With enough lift pushing against a modest shortwave it can maximize potential in narrow stripe.

Thank you for the intro good sir. With great honor I accept my 6" of digital snow and bare ground award on Monday.

First week of April looks money

This may be the most ridiculous thread of the year. Euro AI hits me pretty good. I'm in.

It's been pretty rowdy down here too. Went outside to work for a bit, got blasted by a 2 minute gust, couple branches fell near me, went right back inside. Not enough wind to damage much but plenty of 40mph gusts today. Not a good boating day on the lake I don't think