Picard

Hmmm. But the heating usually helps build the storms. I'm not saying it can't happen, but it's less likely. I just picked up 0.02" with the showers that clipped north jersey. I don't think that will be it but this is contingent on some factors coming together, and they don't always. I'm watching the area now over W. Virginia and eastern Kentucky to see how that does and if it builds more as it moves east northeast. Also the area way back in Tennessee and Arkansas would give some potential if it holds and /or redevelops.

I'm not really sure where the convection will come from to produce these thunderstorms. With overcast skies, it maybe reaches the low-mid 70s at best, so there will be little heating up of the surface.

They keep showing a split with a screw zone in the middle. It's a riot to see 2.5" and 0.2" within 50 miles.

It's probably going to be the typical northern track of the bulk of the precip, while we wait to see what develops to the south of the main area. And if it's too cloudy tomorrow, will that stunt development? Probably.

Possibly a split situation? - A main area into NY state and another smaller area into south central PA into central NJ, with bupkis in between. Both maps are suggestive, and it's happened plenty of times before.

Ha! I beat you by 0.01! 0.08 here. We're really racking it up.

The sky this afternoon was pretty awesome with the towering clouds and vivid shades of grey. Only picked up 0.07" here in two separate showers.

Color me shocked. It's still the case more often than not that wet forecasts fizzle out in the days and hours before. We've had a lot of digital rain. Actual rain, not as much. The half inch last week and half inch again on late Sunday into Monday was helpful, but the overall drought isn't changing much.

That area from Erie to Buffalo over toward the finger lakes and up into Canada has got to be in a surplus of rainfall. That area is always getting something. Anyone have rainfall maps that show wet areas as well as dry?

Very brief downpour earlier and one rumble of thunder. Registered 0.03".

I had exactly 0.5" in the plastic gauge on my back deck post. It put on a helluva show that I didn't expect. You'll catch the next one and then I'll miss out. It doesn't show on the map, but I think parts of far NW Sussex County had well in excess of a inch since they got hit with the earlier part of the round too. Edit: 1.27" at Sandyston Mesonet (Rutgers)

We are. That storm to the north really blew up and developed a nice southern component. The lightening has been non-stop and we're past 0.6" of rain according to two nearby gauges on weather underground. Lots of rolling thunder now. Our dog is having a rough go of it.

I am forced to eat my previous post. It is ripping up here, 60 lightening strikes in the past few minutes according to accuweather. Torrential rain, and wind too. Really blew up again for some. My rain gauge is out of commission, but underground stations around me are showing over 1/2 inch and counting. It looks like upwards of 1.5" out towards Sandyston where they also got the first batch earlier.

Heavy rain, wind, and constant flashes here. Oddly though, not a lot of thunder.

Didn't expect the pop ups. It also looks like the storm up north is intensifying a bit and developing back to the south. I might get clipped by it.

Iffy. It could end up morphing into something more disorganized, and be more spotty. Either way, doesn't look like a lot of rain, unless it manages to intensiify.

It often falls apart around Allentown and Scranton, as was the case today. That's what was noteworthy of the line on Saturday evening - that it actually held together, which has been uncommon in the current long term pattern.

At Mom's barbecuing in Lafayette with family - storm had wind, rain, brief small hail, with lots of lightning. Below severe threshold but still fun - 0.70" in my gauge over there. Back home, 4-5 miles as the crow flies, only 0.2". Zooming in on radar did show an intense pink spot over Lafayette that produced the brief hail and intense rain - and much less over Sparta. I guess it depends on where you were, but it sounds like it juiced up again heading into the city. I'll take whatever we can get - looks dry again for the week ahead.

There was a big snowstorm Memorial Day Weekend in the Adirondacks May 24-26, 2013. https://weather.com/storms/winter/news/snow-new-england-new-york-weekend-20130527

I think there's a laziness component to this issue, like other things, some people don't want to/can't perform relatively simple tasks like adjusting clocks. I think we have the best of both worlds the way it is now - extra daylight in summer evenings and enough daylight on winter mornings. If we change it, fine, but it wouldn't be on my Top 10 list of priorities for this country.

One of the big issues that I'm not sure people realize would be sunrises of nearly 8:30 am during the shortest days of the year.

1.3" event total. Looks like it's starting to brighten, hopefully warms up and dries a bit later for some grilling.

Missed the action out here. 0.04". No thunder.

They rarely make it this far east anymore. There's a chance of a line forming giving the clash of air masses. Typically those lines are broken up and not well organized, at least by the time they get here. So I'm going to guess, overall, not much (<0.2") for the majority of the sub.

It'll be closer to a nothing burger by then since that's usually what happens as events draw closer. I can see it turning out windy and raw with on and off light rain, similar to last week, but not much appreciable precipitation, which will still suck for Memorial Day.