Picard

How fast does everything overcome dry air? Surface dews are still well below 0 over much of the storms path.

It's going to be interesting if we get into mixing with forecast high temps for Sunday only in the upper teens to maybe 20 out this way.

Almost 5 feet in Sparta. Nice. Imagine if it verified, or even half of it. I mean, we are due for a correction on the overall low precipitation amounts in the past year, year and a half. What a time it would be if the deluge came in the form of winter snow. Probably not, but fun to ponder.

Low of 1 @ 800 feet in Sparta. It could've ticked lower after I left for work. I had -4 on the car driving out past Newton through Hampton. The digital welcome sign for our campus read -5 at 7:15 am. Also, low of -12 out in Walpack. Impressive cold.

Unless there was some unconventional cooling conditions that night, and assuming the -34 reading is correct, places like Sandyston and Walpack would had to have been -40 or better. I'm not sure there is any real dataset for out that way that far back. It would be interesting to pour through old newspaper articles or local journals if any still exist, to see if there is any reference to it. For tonight, I'm hovering between 7 and 8 above, and my high today was only 18. I'm thinking I'll make it to 0 or a shade below by morning. I'm changing out weather stations, and plan to use the 24-hour reprieve from the cold tomorrow or Thursday to get it done. Fingers crossed the new one works well.

For Sunday, 3.1" Sparta NJ 8:40 PM, snow has ended and skies are rapidly clearing. Two day total 7.1" with 7" still on the ground. Considering the back and forth with this event, I wasn't expecting even half of the totals I got. I can't speak for everyone on the board, but no complaints from here on this weekend.

Snow is still light here, but the road and driveway are getting recoated with the setting sun in less than an hour.

We've added 1¼" this morning, making the two day total 5¼". The snows have been mostly light today - and the light snow continues. We'll see what later brings, but it's been a perfect snowy weekend so far.

We will bank 4" here for this event. Time to get out and clean up which won't be difficult. It'll be nice having snow around for the upcoming cold.

3 ¼ inches here. Easily 2" in the past two hours. Snow is lighter now but still coming down. Roads are not good here. Sparta township, in all of it's infinite wisdom, plowed earlier this morning when it wasn't even ½ inch yet. And now we haven't seen the plow since.

We're currently in the best of it. Looks like 1.5" and climbing with moderate to heavy snow continuing. Radar looks good for at least the next hour or two.

Sharp cutoffs are problematic for widespread snows, especially with dry air in place. It'll be possible to go from 2-3 inches to zilch in twenty miles or less. Low expectations. It would be nice to have an inch or two of snow to go with the bitter cold air.

NJ.COM going with some clickbait on the end of week system. They already have the red bar at the top declaring the snow threat and seem to be pretty bullish on something materializing: https://www.nj.com/weather/2026/01/nj-weather-forecasters-tracking-potential-snow-wintry-mix-from-storm-later-this-week.html

I don't sleep well sometimes, but managed to sleep through this, so I missed out too. I did look at the past radar loop. It looked like the thickest, heaviest part of it went just to my south, which would be you. We had exactly 1" here vs your 1.7" - it must have been a sight since it probably only lasted 20-30 minutes, if that. Enjoy.

I was sleeping and missed it. 1 inch feel here in probably a short amount of time. Road is covered. I'm sure it was a sight. A snow squall warning had been issued ahead of it for my area as my phone still had the alert on it.

The bulk of it is heading to the north. Other than drizzle, the bulk of tonight's main precip (which isn't much) will be over by 8-9 pm, barring any backfilling of the radar. It will still be slick on untreated surfaces I'm sure.

I agree with using the latest 30 years as a valid forecasting tool, and those data sets are vitally important. I also think we should have readily available longer term data sets to fully understand climate shifts over the last couple of centuries, including how man made factors are contributing to the documented warmth. It's a climate vs. meteorology debate, and both are important.

We picked up an additional 1.7" of all snow overnight from the back filling that Walt and a few others correctly mentioned, bringing storm total to 2.5". Certainly, not a typical scenario, but it worked out enough. I still didn't reach the low end of predictions, although might have if not for the sleet storm at the onset. All in all this wasn't an epic bust, and it certainly did work out for many other locations. It was still flurrying here as of fifteen minutes ago, but looks to be starting to clear up now.

Just measured 0.8" of slow and sleet. Now just very light sleet and 21F. Looks like the dry slot is trying to fill in on the last few radar loops, but I don't see it contributing enough to match some of the totals out east. Maybe another 1/2 -1" if we're lucky. Or maybe nothing.

North NJ is done by 9-9:30 unless that fills in. I'm at about 3/4 to 1 " snow and sleet on the ground. Bust here is almost certain unless there is a drastic change in this storm system that hasn't played out yet. But that's looking doubtful.

Started snowing for literally 2-3 minutes, and flipped right over to sleet as precipitation became heavier. Currently moderate sleet and 23F.

Still nothing, bottom of Sparta Mountain @800 feet. Dewpoint has dropped from 10F to 8F. I suspect eventually it'll make it, but I'm doubting even the 5" now, especially with the mixing, as the front end "Thump" is virtual here so far.

You might be waiting a while.

Funny thing is, shortly after my post, it started flurrying, then stopped again as the heavier band passed by.

Accuweather app. says heavy snow is overhead. My eyes see overcast. Waiting for it to start.