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Picard

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Everything posted by Picard

  1. It looks like the dewpoints are starting to pull back in some locations.
  2. Heat indexes are 120+ in that very southwest corner of NJ. Must be a lot of corn or some other local confluence. Readings are 105-115 elsewhere. The humidity so far does not seem any less today. Without clouds, someone makes a run at 105-107 on official stations. Stay hydrated.
  3. Gross this afternoon. Rutgers stations already have 110+ heat indexes showing up in spots.
  4. I think there is a chance of that, especially northern NJ. There's currently a huge blob of heavy rain and storms heading southeast out of Canada. It'll be interesting to track what if anything holds together or redevelops.
  5. I'm having all sorts of issues too. Almost gave up reading anything tonight as it was taking forever to load. I got a "Bad Gateway" error also.
  6. Another drencher last night - I had 1.8" the Lafayette gauge and 1.85" in the gauge here. Nice training thunderstorms. Too bad they didn't make it further south.
  7. That's wild. Look how close the 3.35" amount is to the 1.36 and the 0.98", geographically speaking. Can't be more than a mile or two. West Central Morris County - Jackpot.
  8. Picked up another 1.35" overnight from downpours. It appears to have been very localized and I got lucky this time.
  9. 0.40" here for the day. Better than nothing, but well under some of the models.
  10. I didn't realize how much warmer it was south of here. That could help you guys out tremendously if it can hold together.
  11. 0.17" so far. Convective activity and severe will be more likely to the south when/if it develops. It's been running 61-65 here all morning and afternoon, even upper 50s in a few spots. Meanwhile, the Delmarva is in the 90s. It's actually quite a temperature difference over 100 miles.
  12. It's backfilling a little bit, and pouring here. We'll see what the rest of it as it swings in from the SW. NNJ looks like it's got a shot maybe.
  13. Hmmm. But the heating usually helps build the storms. I'm not saying it can't happen, but it's less likely. I just picked up 0.02" with the showers that clipped north jersey. I don't think that will be it but this is contingent on some factors coming together, and they don't always. I'm watching the area now over W. Virginia and eastern Kentucky to see how that does and if it builds more as it moves east northeast. Also the area way back in Tennessee and Arkansas would give some potential if it holds and /or redevelops.
  14. I'm not really sure where the convection will come from to produce these thunderstorms. With overcast skies, it maybe reaches the low-mid 70s at best, so there will be little heating up of the surface.
  15. They keep showing a split with a screw zone in the middle. It's a riot to see 2.5" and 0.2" within 50 miles.
  16. It's probably going to be the typical northern track of the bulk of the precip, while we wait to see what develops to the south of the main area. And if it's too cloudy tomorrow, will that stunt development? Probably.
  17. Possibly a split situation? - A main area into NY state and another smaller area into south central PA into central NJ, with bupkis in between. Both maps are suggestive, and it's happened plenty of times before.
  18. Ha! I beat you by 0.01! 0.08 here. We're really racking it up.
  19. The sky this afternoon was pretty awesome with the towering clouds and vivid shades of grey. Only picked up 0.07" here in two separate showers.
  20. Color me shocked. It's still the case more often than not that wet forecasts fizzle out in the days and hours before. We've had a lot of digital rain. Actual rain, not as much. The half inch last week and half inch again on late Sunday into Monday was helpful, but the overall drought isn't changing much.
  21. That area from Erie to Buffalo over toward the finger lakes and up into Canada has got to be in a surplus of rainfall. That area is always getting something. Anyone have rainfall maps that show wet areas as well as dry?
  22. Very brief downpour earlier and one rumble of thunder. Registered 0.03".
  23. I had exactly 0.5" in the plastic gauge on my back deck post. It put on a helluva show that I didn't expect. You'll catch the next one and then I'll miss out. It doesn't show on the map, but I think parts of far NW Sussex County had well in excess of a inch since they got hit with the earlier part of the round too. Edit: 1.27" at Sandyston Mesonet (Rutgers)
  24. We are. That storm to the north really blew up and developed a nice southern component. The lightening has been non-stop and we're past 0.6" of rain according to two nearby gauges on weather underground. Lots of rolling thunder now. Our dog is having a rough go of it.
  25. I am forced to eat my previous post. It is ripping up here, 60 lightening strikes in the past few minutes according to accuweather. Torrential rain, and wind too. Really blew up again for some. My rain gauge is out of commission, but underground stations around me are showing over 1/2 inch and counting. It looks like upwards of 1.5" out towards Sandyston where they also got the first batch earlier.
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