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Picard

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Everything posted by Picard

  1. Picard
    Sharp cutoffs continue to be a feature. This will be fun this winter. I'm up to 0.30" event total from 0.21" overnight. Wind is howling this morning. I didn't witness any power outages as of yet in my travels out this way.
  2. Picard
    Looking solid for the coast now. Stay safe. We'll see how much of the remaining precip shield makes it west of 287 and north of 95 for some needed moisture. Otherwise it's just a breezy, damp, raw evening out this way.
  3. Picard
    0.09" event total.
  4. Picard
    No. It'll just be lucky guesses at this point and someone will be right. Things are kinda verifying on the coast and LI, but just inland, the cutoff remains very sharp. Precip might be filling back in a bit offshore the last few frames. So far it seems even the areas east of 95 are also underperforming as far as the precipitation goes. Wind is more the story.
  5. Picard
    Dry slot offshore on the past few radar loops. Let's see if it fills back in. Precip is minimal west of 95. Still just some light rain and mist with a breeze. Rainfall amounts <0.10" the past 24 hours.
  6. Picard
    Breezy with patches of blue sky. The rain has no chance of making it west of 95. Am I wrong?
  7. Picard
    I don't know if it means much, but I had a band of mist move through about 9:00 am, followed by partly sunny skies.
  8. Picard
    There is a lot of crap on X about this storm on X - seems like a lot of wannabes trolling for more followers. NWS was bullish on their X post at 6 pm - they still have my area at 2-2.5" of rain. Not sure about that.
  9. Picard
    Wow, I never would have thought single digits had ever been recorded in October in NJ, even in a colder climate of the past. Was that near the end of the month?
  10. Picard
    I forgot how cold that morning was area wide.
  11. Picard
    Tonight will be chilly. The heat will go on for the first time. Walpack probably makes it well down into the 20s.
  12. Picard
    0.56" overnight into this morning, which is far more than expected based on most of these falling apart or missing the area. I did catch the squall line around 5:30 AM with wind and a heavy downpour. Neat to see northeast movement of the overall system, and southeast movement of the squall line on the same radar loops.
  13. Picard
    It looks.................decent. Does enough of it hold?
  14. Picard
    I'm still skeptical of much in NNJ - the NAM phases things out from west to east, when we know in fact the cutoffs can be quite sharp.
  15. Picard
    That's happened a few times.
  16. Picard
    Most of it misses the area.
  17. Picard
    Bust likely. There's no way we're getting what the wetter models are showing. I'd say the NAM has the best chances of being correct and it wouldn't be out of the question to say that's even overdone for some.
  18. Picard
    Put a quarter inch on the bingo board within the next 7 days in NNJ and you might luck out. Bonus bucks if someone gets to a half. Everything else is clown maps until there is stronger evidence of a significant pattern developing.
  19. Picard
    If it follows the overall trend of recent years, much of it will develop too far north, and move further north. Anything in this area is typically very spotty.
  20. Picard
    That's interesting. I have always believed it would be hundreds of years (150+) before things went catastrophic. I can question my own beliefs sometimes, and the fall heat is one of those times and the now more consistent dryness too. One thing is certain, whatever type of weather it is, things are running in more extremes, which is costing money, and putting more lives at risk. The sad thing is, I don't know what can realistically be done quickly about this issue, but I'll save that for another forum.
  21. Picard
    Yes, in a few towns. Most aren't seeing anything. Maybe overnight, but I have some doubts.
  22. Picard
    Looks like rain changes are nil for most tonight. What are all of those spots all over the radar? Doesn't look like typical rain. Radar glitch?
  23. Picard
    The line passed through here and was a nothing burger. Picked up another 0.08" to bring the two day total since Tuesday evening to 0.55". The line is blossoming a bit down by Philly but I think it's over with in these parts for a while.
  24. Picard
    Light rain. Dewpoints are atrotious, and the AC in my classroom doesn't work, so that's fun. If I'm reading it right, Scranton PA has picked up 2.3 inches of rain so far today, and seems to be in the bullseye of heaviest rain.
  25. Picard
    I should be up to a half inch since Tuesday night with the latest light rain, which almost puts me in the jackpot this time. With all of the dreariness and gross humidity the past two days, people will perceive that we've gotten much more rain than we actually have.
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