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Everything posted by Picard
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0.00" Nothing is getting here and it won't at this point. Stiff breeze and running 68-69 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Feels quite raw actually and a great day for backyard football. Sucks for the flood prone areas again. I'd happy take an inch off your hands. As it stands, I'll be out watering like crazy tonight since I held off last night given the prediction.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm OK with a couple of degrees. Things could adapt, and there are indeed benefits for some. Beyond that though, I think it introduces more problems, some of which are already unfolding like melting glaciers, rising seas, and a positive feedback loop that keeps it all going. Regarding your comment on stopping driving cars - not going to happen. I am waiting for a day when I could buy a relatively inexpensive independently duel powered vehicle, and I'm in. In other words, the gasoline engine is ready to fire up if I run out of battery. And eventually, I think, among other problems, we're going to be running into problems of sourcing EV batteries, and disposal of spent batteries. Cars by themselves are only part of the issue. It's also the sheer demand of goods and services in this country, as well as our throw away culture. By a TV, don't like it in a year, or want a better one, or some minor glitch prevents it from working properly? No problem, just toss it and by a new one. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I can't imagine lows bottoming in the 30s around here in July as a relatively normal thing. Global warming is definitely in play here, but I wonder if it's also a heat island affect, even though we are further from the city areas, how much of an affect have we seen? Also airborne pollutants trapping heat and not allowing it to radiate off (aside from CO2) And higher dewpoints would likely correlate with less radiational cooling. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Over the Newton/Sparta area earlier, we had two distinct cloud formations that were trying to develop something. I even ran through a brief shower just outside of Newton, heading towards Sparta around 4:45. Just barley enough for one or two swipes with the windshield wipers. There was a tiny blip on radar and the only one around for hundreds of miles. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There was a narrow path of 75+ dewpoints today in and around the Hillsborough area and surrounding towns. Otherwise, not as awful as it's been in other places up here. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don't quite understand this either. Take an example of Andover-Aeroflex Airport, which is just a quick skip away from me. They only report at :54 past the hour. Sussex airport is :53 past the hour and sometimes reports the whole degree and sometimes to the tenths of a degree without rhyme or reason. Morristown Airport seems all over the place with it's timestaps. Furthermore, they seem to round off to the nearest whole °C which is not precise. Most odd of all, Andover-Aeroflex has also recorded 4 inches of rain in the past 3 days according to their stream, which is simply false. Seems like these NWS data feeds are elementary at best, which is inexcusable in 2025. If I were running some kind of study or analysis, this data would be unreliable in a lot of cases. It seems like something C students would turn in as part of a middle school science project. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some interesting numbers from the NOAA/NWS weather calculator pages, and assuming a sea level pressure of 30" Temp 95F, RH 20% = Dewpoint of 48 and associated Heat Index of 91.5F Temp 95F, RH 55% = Dewpoint of 76 and associated Heat Index of 109F Also, at high temperatures, relatively small jumps in the RH% value can make a BIG difference in the comfort level. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed. We had our humid days, but never to this extent. And there is definitely a big difference when the dewpoint is 70 vs. 78. I always found 70ish tolerable. I'm going to wager a guess that the actual amount of moisture in the air grows exponentially as the dewpoint value increases (as opposed to linear growth which wouldn't have as dramatic an effect). -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
80°+ dewpoints used to be rare. Now its quite common to find them when perusing the maps or various station observations. -
The most important thing is people walking away safely, which hopefully everyone did tonight. After that, then looking at the property losses, including vehicles. The costs and resources to repair or replace these things is astronomical these days, and with modern day cars, it doesn't take much water incursion to completely ruin it or run a tab into the tens of thousands in repairs.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storms firing off to my north. That cell off to my north is warned. I can hear the thunder and see dark sky in the distance. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Picard replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I was going to ask where the heat advisories were, but it looks like everywhere, except Sussex County. I'm at 94, DP 76, HI 107. That has a high bias as the sensor housing is in the direct sun. But I went out to shoot some water on the plants and it feels every bit of what the reading shows. Brutal. I only lasted about 10 minutes. -
Well they had it half right, it got very sticky and warm here in the late afternoon - standing over the grill was brutal. Weather station read a 101 heat index around 5:30 pm with a dewpoint of 78.