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Picard

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Everything posted by Picard

  1. Picard
    80°+ dewpoints used to be rare. Now its quite common to find them when perusing the maps or various station observations.
  2. Picard
    The most important thing is people walking away safely, which hopefully everyone did tonight. After that, then looking at the property losses, including vehicles. The costs and resources to repair or replace these things is astronomical these days, and with modern day cars, it doesn't take much water incursion to completely ruin it or run a tab into the tens of thousands in repairs.
  3. Picard
    Looks like there is about to be a lot more totaled out expensive cars floating around (literally).
  4. Picard
    Storms firing off to my north. That cell off to my north is warned. I can hear the thunder and see dark sky in the distance.
  5. Picard
    I was going to ask where the heat advisories were, but it looks like everywhere, except Sussex County. I'm at 94, DP 76, HI 107. That has a high bias as the sensor housing is in the direct sun. But I went out to shoot some water on the plants and it feels every bit of what the reading shows. Brutal. I only lasted about 10 minutes.
  6. Picard
    At some point this afternoon, the Hillsboro station recorded a HI of 121. If you point and click into the View Data option, it shows.
  7. Picard
    Some stations are heading for real-feel temperatures of 120+, at least in short bursts. Maybe some of that data would need to be smoothed out to compensate for sensor noise, but still.
  8. Picard
    Heat indexes already 105-110 in spots to our south!
  9. Picard
    Well they had it half right, it got very sticky and warm here in the late afternoon - standing over the grill was brutal. Weather station read a 101 heat index around 5:30 pm with a dewpoint of 78.
  10. Picard
    I wonder what kind of rain totals are occurring up and around the Binghamton area. It looks like some training was taking place up that way and they have been building back to some extent as the morning progresses.
  11. Picard
    Thundering here.
  12. Picard
    Someone is getting a sheet ton of rain with the way it's moving, and also appears to be re-loading a bit on it's back end.
  13. Picard
    Picked up 0.6" in about 12 minutes with that cell that passed over me. Nothing severe, just torrential rain and a bit of a breeze with some rumbles of thunder.
  14. Picard
    And just like that. The sun comes out and dewpoints into the 70s. Feels like summer.
  15. Picard
    You never cease to amaze.
  16. Picard
    2.65" storm total. We really got under some heavy radar returns for several hours overnight.
  17. Picard
    The costs of homes and autos, including insurance is becoming untenable. If someone's fancy Land Rover gets washed away in a flood, insurance is out 80-100K, which are costs they will ultimately pass on to everyone. Even a minor fender bender can be over 10K in repairs. Many of these homes wrecked in fires and floods are north of a million bucks. But even lower end homes and autos are becoming too expensive to maintain and repair.
  18. Picard
    Wow, zilch to boom in 15 minutes. Blew up right over us. A quick quarter inch with several loud cracks of thunder. Wasn't expecting that.
  19. Picard
    Looks like a bit of excitement coming through PA if it holds together.
  20. Picard
    The rain finally developed far enough east to put us under a steady heavier rain for several hours. We were closing in on an inch before I left and it was still raining pretty good. It looks like we might dry slot, maybe scattered lighter showers after 10 AM or so. But I think we've already reached at least the low side of the predictions, and the water for the plants is welcome.
  21. Picard
    That's fine, but recent forecasts haven't really been reflective of that fact.
  22. Picard
    So, earlier, NWS Mount Holly dropped maps on X showing amounts up to 3" over North Jersey. I replied with my skepticism, similar to what I did here. And their account replied to me with the following: "We have been missing out on better rainfall recently, but chances are looking better for a soaking rain tonight and tomorrow, at least from around I-95 and northwest".
  23. Picard
    Possibly nowhere for some. It all depends on where the storms pop up and any banding might set up. These are tricky forecasts and modeling hasn't been great. I'd be skeptical of calls for area-wide 2" the next couple of days, but that's just my non-expert opinion. Storms are firing off in their favorite spots out to the N and W. For now that's where they'll stay - they could sneak a little further into the area later on. We'll see.
  24. Picard
    I remain skeptical of calls for a wetter pattern. While I agree that there are things that may point to it, often times we see much of the precipitation off to the north and west or hook around and out of the area entirely. This has been a trend for month after month now. The latest drought monitor is out, which shows modest improvements in the more severe drought areas for NJ, but much of the more pronounced improvements in the northeast are all over central PA as well as central and western NY State.
  25. Picard
    Wow on radar. Just not here. I wonder what the totals will be from those storms over northern PA.
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